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Fannie Mae economists expect two rate cuts in 2024, moderating home prices in 2025

Housing Wire

Home price growth in the second quarter was stronger than previously anticipated, but economists at Fannie Mae believe it will likely moderate soon, closing 2024 and 2025 at annualized rates of 6.1% Fannie also forecasts refi volumes to grow to $563 billion in 2025 as home prices continue to rise and mortgage rates fall.

Inventory 451
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Inventory is rising and affordability is improving, but home sales aren’t happening

Housing Wire

It was the 10th straight month of annualized growth and for-sale inventory is now at its highest level since May 2020. Shoppers, who are out this fall, are likely to face lower competition than is expected in spring 2025 as more shoppers anticipate better mortgage rates.” less than the average August from 2017 to 2019.

Inventory 451
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Fell in May Despite Rising Inventory 

Appraisal Buzz

The market is at an interesting point with rising inventory and lower demand,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR, in a statement. Inevitably, more inventory in a job-creating economy will lead to greater home buying, especially when mortgage rates descend.” million in 2025. Year-over-year, all U.S.

Inventory 195
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NAR: Existing-Home Sales Fell in April But Inventory Increased 9 Percent

Appraisal Buzz

Lack of inventory, high home prices and rising mortgage rates slowed existing-homes sales in April. Despite a 9% month-over-month increase in inventory in April, home prices continued to increase: The median existing-home price jumped 5.7% The inventory of unsold existing homes increased to 1.21 million, as of the end of April.

Inventory 195
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NAR Forecasts 2024 Existing-Home Sales

Appraisal Buzz

A continued dearth of inventory, high home prices and stable mortgage interest rates have kept would-be home buyers at bay this spring.” Economic Forecast NAR projects that even with the Federal Reserve’s reduction in the Fed Funds rate, mortgage rates will still be higher than 6% in 2024 and 2025. million in 2025.

Contracts 418
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Fannie Mae economists lower their expectations for 2024 home sales

Housing Wire

Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group downgraded its forecasts for 2024 and 2025 home sales based on a number of reliable metrics that have “barely budged in response to the more favorable rate environment.“ million sales in 2025 (down from 5.26 trillion, while our outlook for 2025 was revised upward slightly to $2.2

Mortgage 460
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Originations forecast through 2026 ‘dampened’ by inflation, GDP and labor market growth

Housing Wire

A “mild decline” in GDP growth in 2025 could lead to a softening of both mortgage rates and home prices, leading to slightly higher origination levels and growth in refinance transactions that is tempered by recent historic lows. Of that total, $252 billion is expected to come from refinances.

Marketing 430