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Debunking the housing inventory myth in preparation for 2023

Housing Wire

Fueled by the work-from-home exurb mania which joined forces with the newly minted individual and institutional passive investors, outsized demand was created that defied demographics. However, the story of 2023 may be very different than what any of us expect due to the oncoming avalanche of inventory we may see and its implications.

Inventory 496
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Housing inventory still near record lows

Housing Wire

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 28% of sales in March; Individual investors purchased 17% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 27% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 1% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 29 days. We only have 2.6

Inventory 521
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Housing inventory is still at a crisis level

Housing Wire

So few single-family homes are for sale in America that just two months of inventory is available across the top 100 metro areas in the country, a historic low. In Dallas, listings under $2 million have less than three months of inventory. Historically, it took these thin markets anywhere from six to 12 months to sell listed inventory.

Inventory 414
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 538
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Existing homes sales market falls again, market lacks sellers

Housing Wire

“Home sellers are buyers” — this is a phrase that I have been using in my economic work to explain the reality of the housing market recently. So, when home prices and mortgage rates rise so quickly, some sellers won’t list , which means they’re not buying either. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month million in July.

Sellers 357
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Low inventory a challenge to housing market as rates decline 

Housing Wire

But while rates have dropped, the housing market has continued to be challenged by low inventory levels. Altos Research data shows that the weekly inventory fell from 414,278 on March 17 to 413,169 on March 24. Mortgage rates declined for the third consecutive week, sparking hope for a good homebuyers’ spring season.

Inventory 512
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How inventory inches up with higher interest rates

Housing Wire

As a result, the available inventory of homes for sale is slightly higher each week. With fewer transactions, inventory is building just a bit as we approach the end of the summer. When will inventory peak for the year? Inventory Inventory is still climbing just a bit each week as we approach the end of the season.

Inventory 291