article thumbnail

Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 541
article thumbnail

Will we start 2022 with all-time lows in housing inventory?

Housing Wire

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021. Inventory fades in the fall and winter and picks up in summer and spring.

Inventory 520
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Logan Mohtashami unpacks the slow train wreck that’s been happening in housing inventory

Housing Wire

I always try to focus people on the total inventory data until we get inventory back into a range of 1.52-1.93 HousingWire: To add to that, since housing is in an inventory shortage, the market has changed, so the good news is inventory is growing. The big difference now than, let’s say, what we saw from 2002-2008.

Training 431
article thumbnail

US home prices continued to rally in July 2023

Housing Wire

. “This is about the same rate of price growth that occurred during the 2002 through 2006 period when subprime lending drove exuberant housing demand. “But that is where the similarities end.

Inventory 458
article thumbnail

Is the Dallas Fed right to label this a housing bubble?

Housing Wire

We aren’t anywhere close to the housing bubble dynamics we had from 2002 to 2008; that environment is simply impossible to replicate. Especially in a year when inventory has crashed to all-time lows and demand for those houses is still so high. This got smashed in two years, and inventory levels broke to all-time lows this year.

article thumbnail

Mortgage applications fell another 3.1% last week

Housing Wire

The rate for FHA mortgages increased to 7.02%, its highest rate since 2002. The purchase index fell for the fourth consecutive week, as homebuyers continue to struggle with low for-sale inventory and elevated mortgage rates, added Kan. The downgrading of the U.S. As a result, rates increased for all loan types.

Mortgage 364
article thumbnail

How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows. For some time now, I have been focusing on that 1.52-1.93