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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 541
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Total inventory levels.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month However, negative year-over-year inventory is not what we want to see.

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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows. For some time now, I have been focusing on that 1.52-1.93

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. This time around, we have not seen the kind of housing credit boom that we did from 2002-2005. Traditionally, inventory levels have been between 2 million to 2.5 nominal per year at most.

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

Inventory 384
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

A traditional primary resident seller is also a buyer, which means if they don’t list, they’re not just taking a potential home to be bought off the table — they’re taking a future sale off the books as well. Total Inventory data fell in this report from 1.31 I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels. million to 1.28

Inventory 458