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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 540
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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows. Also, certain investors felt no fear post-2020.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month However, negative year-over-year inventory is not what we want to see.

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

Inventory 383
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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

We don’t have a massive credit boom as purchase application data is at historical lows; we haven’t had the same run-up in credit as we saw from 2002-2005. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982. million, up from 1.03 million last year.

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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Total Inventory data fell in this report from 1.31 It doesn’t even look like we will breach the lower level of my inventory wish list of 1.52 I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels. Even though 2019 inventory levels were historically low, they were at four-decade lows before 2020; they’re a more effective pricing market.

Inventory 454
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This savagely unhealthy housing market needs higher rates

Housing Wire

This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We were told that population growth is slowing, we were told that Americans would panic sell and that massive inventory would hit the marketplace once rates got to 4%. Wait, what? I use the 1.52-1.93