Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2021

When you hear people say that the current housing market is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one. The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble. Because of this I am calling this the unhealthiest housing market post-2010.

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Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2022

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. The smart thing to do is go with the builder sentiment trend until it reverses, and most likely, we will need to see lower mortgage rates for that to happen.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

You can see why I have been on team higher mortgage rates for some time now because we don’t have any other way to get off this madness. To get the housing market to be sane and normal again, we need inventory to get back in a range between 1.52 – 1.93 Housing is the cost of shelter to own the debt; it’s not an investment.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. We are not taking the unhealthy housing market theme off this marketplace.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Imagine if mortgage rates didn’t rise this year. We are still showing double-digit home-price growth trends in the recent data as it takes time for higher mortgage rates to really increase supply back to normal levels. million or higher.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. million to 4.98 million in January 2019.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. Traditionally, housing starts, permits, and completions would move together, like what we saw in 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. economic recovery was a false story and that we were about to embark on a second housing bubble crash due to forbearance. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. What a year 2021 has been. The excellent.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy. However, a cool-down in prices is not the same thing as a housing crash. We had a credit boom.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2023

With the banking crisis spurring more talk of a recession, the question now is: What would housing credit look like in a recession? housing market would crash during the pandemic. One of the main reasons for that fear was that housing credit was about to get tight, meaning fewer people could buy homes with mortgages.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2020

housing market and compare those to where we are today — in the middle of one of the most epic years in our country’s history, due to COVID-19. No doubt about it, the COVID crisis has taken some juice out of the 2020 housing market. The February housing data, pre-COVID, was juicy indeed. higher than a year ago.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. The days on the market to sell a home is too low.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2022

Borrowers’ demand for mortgage loans declined at a slower pace last week when mortgage rates dropped slightly ahead of the Federal Reserve ’s (Fed) meeting to announce the new target for the federal funds rate. A different index measures this week’s rates higher at 7.09% , according to Mortgage News Daily. from 13.9%

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2022

Housing starts came in at 1.724 million , and housing permits came in at 1.819 million — both are still very healthy numbers. However, the sting of higher mortgage rates is hitting the single-family construction data, and the real story is that the housing completion data, which has been bad for a long time, is still terrible.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 14, 2023

Benchmark Administration (IBA) , will take on a new role as president of ICE Mortgage Technology starting on March 1. Bowler will be in charge of ICE’s business segment, which is focused on automating elements of the mortgage industry and delivered a revenue of $1.1 Timothy Bowler, president of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housing market , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble. housing market behavior for the first time since the boom of the early 2000s.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

“This is about the same rate of price growth that occurred during the 2002 through 2006 period when subprime lending drove exuberant housing demand. “But that is where the similarities end. Mortgage holders are well-qualified and subprime loans are rare. ”

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. Currently, we are in a much different housing recession than what we had from 2005-2011. The credit cycle looks much different now than the build-up from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. This sector on an apples-to-apples basis is more expensive than the existing home sales market. percent (±11.9

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2021

HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami joins the HousingWire Daily podcast to talk about why low mortgage rates need to end. During the interview, HW+ Managing Editor Brena Nath interviews Mohtashami on his most recent article , “We need higher mortgage rates to cool the housing market.”. Already a member?

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2021

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined slightly to 2.86% for the week ending in August 19, according to mortgage rates data released Thursday by Freddie Mac ‘s PMMS. The week prior, mortgage rates rose to 2.87% , after six consecutive weeks of mortgage rate declines. Last week, mortgage applications decreased 3.9%

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 27, 2022

Mortgage rates have surged firmly above the 7% mark, making alternatives such as temporary rate buydowns and down payment assistance programs more popular, according to loan officers. United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) launched the product in August. A year ago at this time, rates averaged 3.14%. Searching for new options.

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Mortgage Loan Officers Clients Housing Market 364

Eyes on Housing

OCTOBER 20, 2022

As rising mortgage rates continue to cool the housing market, the volume of existing home sales has declined for eight consecutive months as of September, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The average 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate has increased from 3.11% at the start of the year to 6.9%

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Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2022

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. When people say credit will get so tight that we are headed back to 2008 levels of lending, they’re telling me they’ve never read the MBA’s mortgage credit availability index, not even one time.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. The days on market were too low.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2020

Let’s just say this is the final nail in the coffin for the housing bear troll camps that were so sure that this time, housing would finally crash. COVID didn’t get the housing market, but it did pull a fast one on those pesky bears. We saw hints of a flourishing housing market prior to the COVID crisis.

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Housing Market Mortgage Buyers Marketing 544

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A few months ago, I wrote that the new home sales sector is at risk because of rising mortgage rates. A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. Slow and steady wins the race.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

New home sales missed estimates today but had three months of positive revisions, which continues the story of the builders managing the higher mortgage rate environment. However, higher mortgage rates make it harder and harder to pull some of those deals off. The question is, what happens in the future with higher mortgage rates?

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2022

With mortgage rates surging to the 7% mark, industry observers believe that a new refi wave won’t return for several years. The latest weekly survey data from Freddie Mac shows the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage surged 26 basis points from last week to 6.92%, a record-setting climb to its highest level since April 2002.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 15, 2021

I hear a lot of chatter about a boom in cash-out refinances, and the presumption seems to be that this is destined to wreak havoc on the housing market and the economy at some point. Home prices were growing at an unsustainable level from 2002-2005, leading to some excess risk-taking on inadequate loan debt structures.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 18, 2022

To say that mortgage lenders are facing challenging times would be a considerable understatement. The substantial increases this year present challenges in the mortgage sector, as the note rates produced can become illiquid if not hedged. in September 2002. The index stood at 58.6 S&P/Case-Shiller U.S.

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. million homes, using the NAR data.

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Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. It is what it is: the housing dilemma we live with in America.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2023

The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has instituted a 90-day moratorium on foreclosures of mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), as well as a pause on foreclosures of mortgages in the Indian Home Loan Guarantee program.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

However, with active listings now near all-time lows, the builders’ new homes still have more value in the housing market than what we saw in previous decades. They can cut prices, pay down mortgage rates for their buyers, and do what they need to to make it work for them to move their products. months of supply equals: 1.4

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