Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. The days on the market to sell a home is too low.

Housing Market 327

Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Inventory 327

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

. “This is about the same rate of price growth that occurred during the 2002 through 2006 period when subprime lending drove exuberant housing demand. “But that is where the similarities end. Mortgage holders are well-qualified and subprime loans are rare. ”

Inventory 472

Inventory Housing Market Lending Buyers 472

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 27, 2022

Mortgage rates have surged firmly above the 7% mark, making alternatives such as temporary rate buydowns and down payment assistance programs more popular, according to loan officers. United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) launched the product in August. A year ago at this time, rates averaged 3.14%. Searching for new options.

Mortgage 377

Mortgage Loan Officers Clients Housing Market 377

Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2020

Let’s just say this is the final nail in the coffin for the housing bear troll camps that were so sure that this time, housing would finally crash. COVID didn’t get the housing market, but it did pull a fast one on those pesky bears. We saw hints of a flourishing housing market prior to the COVID crisis.

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Buyers Marketing 544

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. The days on market were too low.

Inventory 540

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 540

Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market follow Canada? In short, the answer is no, we won’t have the type of home-price velocity that Canada has experienced because our housing market is more diverse than theirs. housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. from 2002-to 2005, which led to forced credit selling.

Buyers 531

Buyers Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 531

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . million in August.”

Inventory 477

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 477

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. I knew housing would be OK as long as home prices only grew at 23% over five years — 4.6% This means less demand for housing.

New Listings 497

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 497

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. Housing permits and starts are falling now, even with the backlog of homes in the system. With less transaction volume , general incomes in the housing sector are falling.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 545

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. Case in point, purchase application data is already below 2008 levels today.

Inventory 397

Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Have higher rates worked?

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Appraisal Buzz

MAY 17, 2021

During the 2007-10 mortgage default meltdown, appraisals were a target of complaints and allegations by lenders, the GSEs, some state appraisal boards, and a few unscrupulous entrepreneurs. Between 2002-2005 in many markets, the real estate market was scorching, much like it is today. Is this any different than last time?

Appraisal 418

Appraisal Clients Real Estate Sellers 418

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy. However, a cool-down in prices is not the same thing as a housing crash. We are currently a t 1.7

Housing Market 418

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Lending 418

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 5, 2022

I have been part of the mortgage banking industry since 1983 — 39 years to date through different housing markets. So when I talk to loan originators today, I harken back to my early days when fixed mortgage rates were over 14% and there were absolutely no refinances to be had.

Housing Market 523

Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. This sector on an apples-to-apples basis is more expensive than the existing home sales market. percent (±11.9

Mortgage 478

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 478

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2020

housing market and compare those to where we are today — in the middle of one of the most epic years in our country’s history, due to COVID-19. No doubt about it, the COVID crisis has taken some juice out of the 2020 housing market. The February housing data, pre-COVID, was juicy indeed. higher than a year ago.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Marketing Construction Buyers 543

Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2022

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. The smart thing to do is go with the builder sentiment trend until it reverses, and most likely, we will need to see lower mortgage rates for that to happen.

Housing Market 520

Housing Market Marketing Construction Real Estate 520

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. Traditionally, housing starts, permits, and completions would move together, like what we saw in 2002-2005.

Housing Market 438

Housing Market Marketing Construction Supply Chain 438

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

Sellers 514

Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

However, with active listings now near all-time lows, the builders’ new homes still have more value in the housing market than what we saw in previous decades. They can cut prices, pay down mortgage rates for their buyers, and do what they need to to make it work for them to move their products.

Inventory 539

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 539

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

Inventory 512

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 512

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2020

housing market has outperformed expectations, I expected these upward trends to moderate. If we don’t end the year at 5,710,000 – 5,840,000 total existing home sales, it will be because COVID-19 temporarily paused housing activity. This is my biggest concern for the market going forward. If we have greater than 4.6%

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Buyers Realtors Marketing 545

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2022

Housing starts came in at 1.724 million , and housing permits came in at 1.819 million — both are still very healthy numbers. However, the sting of higher mortgage rates is hitting the single-family construction data, and the real story is that the housing completion data, which has been bad for a long time, is still terrible.

Mortgage 485

Mortgage Construction Contracts Housing Market 485

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

One of the realities of COVID-19 has been the lag to build homes in a business that requires stable mortgage rates because of the traditional time to complete a home. Mortgage rates jumped from 3% to 7.375% this year. That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

Construction 351

Construction Housing Market Mortgage Sellers 351

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. Currently, we are in a much different housing recession than what we had from 2005-2011. The credit cycle looks much different now than the build-up from 2002-2005.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 533

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates. The forecast. Current conditions don’t support this. The backstory.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Inventory Mortgage Marketing 543

Appraisal Today

NOVEMBER 4, 2022

Keep them up to date in every step of the report so that they can keep the Lender (and the Buyer/Seller/Realtor/Closing Attorneys when applicable) all in the loop on the progress of the report. Mortgage Lending You decide. Buyer-Borrower Remorse. Essentially, the cases are situations of “buyer-borrower remorse.”

Reconsideration of Value 52

Reconsideration of Value Appraisal Inspection Advertising 52

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

It’s the same reason I have given for many years: the American bears who are typically housing crash addicts can’t read data correctly, and the mortgage purchase application data just proved my point once again. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market.

Inventory 487

Inventory Housing Market Investors Marketing 487

Housing Wire

MARCH 17, 2022

We had more housing starts during the bubble years because from 2002 to 2005 that demand curve was higher, but it was facilitated by unhealthy credit growth. The homebuyers of new homes today are very solid, but since we don’t have a credit boom in housing, housing starts will move up slowly.

Construction 480

Construction Housing Market Inventory Buyers 480

Housing Wire

JUNE 16, 2022

Housing starts came in at 1.549 million and housing permits came in at 1.695 million. Housing completion data did grow to 1.465 million and more of the backlogged homes are finished. Housing permits aren’t collapsing by any means, but the permits data is backward-looking. From Census: Housing Starts Privately?owned

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Buyers Mortgage Construction 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

That data shows how housing was still on pace to have another solid year before mortgage rates got over 5%. The most recent housing starts data on permits and starts side of the equation was fine this month, but it also lagged the current rates environment. From Census: Sales of new single?family

Construction 341

Construction Buyers Housing Market Inventory 341

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

Our demographics were either too young or too old to be in the market to purchase homes. “Second, over 8 million homeowners were delinquent on their mortgages, and once they lost their home, they would join the ranks of renters. So you can see why housing demand has been stable and higher than what we saw from 2008 to 2019.

Inventory 347

Inventory Housing Market Legal Mortgage 347

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005.

Construction 370

Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 370

Will Springer Realtor

OCTOBER 11, 2022

At what point will mortgage interest rates peak? Seriously though, there must be a ceiling to rising rates that have all but extinguished a robust housing market. While investors of mortgaged securities help dictate their interest rates, the Federal Reserve is behind the scenes influencing the overall lending environment.

Housing Market 36

Housing Market Marketing Buyers Real Estate 36

Will Springer Realtor

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

The housing market in and around King County was moving along swimmingly at the start of 2022, with homes selling briskly and buyers taking advantage of interest rates in the 3s. and jump in mortgage rates of 4 percentage points has created a housing market belly flop. Give us some cooling – stat! “We

New Listings 36

New Listings Housing Market Inventory Buyers 36

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2022

From NAR: In the last few months of the year, existing home sales have been outperforming my sales ranges noticeably, and I talked about how sales could moderate, but mortgage demand ended 2021 on a solid note. million is if home prices accelerate above my five-year cumulative growth rate of 23% and mortgage rates rise. million to 6.2

Inventory 489

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 489

Will Springer Realtor

DECEMBER 8, 2021

GREATER BUYING POWER Buyers who are struggling to purchase a home in this frenzied housing market will receive a bit of a lifeline in 2022. The federal guarantors of most consumer mortgages have agreed to raise the borrowing limits on 30-year conforming loans. Clair via email or phone (206-934-5449). SCAM ALERT.

Sellers 36

Sellers Marketing Supply Chain Construction 36