Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. million and 6.16 million to 4.98 million in January 2019.

Housing Market 490

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 490

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 27, 2022

Mortgage rates have surged firmly above the 7% mark, making alternatives such as temporary rate buydowns and down payment assistance programs more popular, according to loan officers. United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) launched the product in August. A year ago at this time, rates averaged 3.14%. Searching for new options.

Mortgage 373

Mortgage Loan Officers Clients Housing Market 373

Housing Wire

AUGUST 21, 2020

COVID didn’t get the housing market, but it did pull a fast one on those pesky bears. For the casual observers of the market, it may seem intuitive that with all the economic chaos we suffered during the first half of 2020, the housing market would take a drastic hit – from which it would be difficult to recover. Look, I get it.

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Buyers Marketing 544

Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

However, since I had the possibility of the 10-year yield getting to 2.42% and 4% plus mortgage rates, I accounted for that in the range. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. The days on the market to sell a home is too low.

Housing Market 340

Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Inventory 340

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. The days on market were too low.

Inventory 540

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 540

Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market follow Canada? In short, the answer is no, we won’t have the type of home-price velocity that Canada has experienced because our housing market is more diverse than theirs. housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. When mortgage rates rise, two things always happen here in America.

Buyers 530

Buyers Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 530

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . million in August.” million in August.”

Inventory 456

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 456

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

New Listings 491

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 491

Appraisal Buzz

MAY 17, 2021

During the 2007-10 mortgage default meltdown, appraisals were a target of complaints and allegations by lenders, the GSEs, some state appraisal boards, and a few unscrupulous entrepreneurs. Between 2002-2005 in many markets, the real estate market was scorching, much like it is today.

Appraisal 418

Appraisal Clients Real Estate Sellers 418

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. Nor can we ever have a credit sales boom again with lending standards back to normal.

Inventory 384

Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 384

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Production falls. Incomes go down.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Have higher rates worked? Some data to consider: 1.

Housing Market 500

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 500

Housing Wire

AUGUST 11, 2020

The most abhorrent racist practices, such as redlining, are officially prohibited, yet bias creeps into mortgage lending in myriad ways. So, early in my career, I sought for ways to help would-be buyers, most being minorities, bridge the gap and achieve homeownership earlier. It’s a serious challenge.

Government 420

Government Sellers Development Mortgage 420

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

Mortgage 475

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 475

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy. No, it can’t. We are currently a t 1.7

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Lending 397

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 5, 2022

I have been part of the mortgage banking industry since 1983 — 39 years to date through different housing markets. So when I talk to loan originators today, I harken back to my early days when fixed mortgage rates were over 14% and there were absolutely no refinances to be had. The housing market won’t be like this forever.

Housing Market 517

Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Mortgage 517

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2020

housing market and compare those to where we are today — in the middle of one of the most epic years in our country’s history, due to COVID-19. No doubt about it, the COVID crisis has taken some juice out of the 2020 housing market. The new home sales market is doing well as it really benefits from lower mortgage rates.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Marketing Construction Buyers 543

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

However, with active listings now near all-time lows, the builders’ new homes still have more value in the housing market than what we saw in previous decades. They can cut prices, pay down mortgage rates for their buyers, and do what they need to to make it work for them to move their products. When supply is 4.3

Inventory 543

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. Traditionally, housing starts, permits, and completions would move together, like what we saw in 2002-2005. When supply is 4.3 When supply is 4.4

Housing Market 416

Housing Market Marketing Construction Supply Chain 416

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time. housing market. What is going on here?

Inventory 515

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 515

Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2022

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. The smart thing to do is go with the builder sentiment trend until it reverses, and most likely, we will need to see lower mortgage rates for that to happen.

Housing Market 520

Housing Market Marketing Construction Real Estate 520

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2022

Census Bureau released their new residential construction report for April, showing a miss on the estimate and a negative revisions data line, which I believe is lagging behind the current market reality. We simply cannot finish homes in America promptly, and now that mortgage rates are over 5%, some buyers won’t be able to purchase a home.

Mortgage 470

Mortgage Construction Contracts Housing Market 470

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2020

housing market has outperformed expectations, I expected these upward trends to moderate. We see hints of this delayed home sales shift in the Mortgage Bankers Association’s purchase application data. Because this data looks out 30-90 days, we can get from these numbers that the market is still in make up demand mode.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Buyers Realtors Marketing 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event. million today.

Sellers 504

Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 504

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. The credit cycle looks much different now than the build-up from 2002-2005. In the past, builders benefitted when mortgage rates fell toward 4% and below.

Mortgage 531

Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 531

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

One of the realities of COVID-19 has been the lag to build homes in a business that requires stable mortgage rates because of the traditional time to complete a home. Mortgage rates jumped from 3% to 7.375% this year. That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

Construction 360

Construction Housing Market Mortgage Sellers 360

Appraisal Today

NOVEMBER 4, 2022

Keep them up to date in every step of the report so that they can keep the Lender (and the Buyer/Seller/Realtor/Closing Attorneys when applicable) all in the loop on the progress of the report. Mortgage Lending You decide. Buyer-Borrower Remorse. Essentially, the cases are situations of “buyer-borrower remorse.”

Reconsideration of Value 52

Reconsideration of Value Appraisal Inspection Advertising 52

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates. That range dictated that mortgage rates would roughly stay between 3.5%-4.75%.

Housing Market 543

Housing Market Inventory Mortgage Marketing 543

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

Our demographics were either too young or too old to be in the market to purchase homes. “Second, over 8 million homeowners were delinquent on their mortgages, and once they lost their home, they would join the ranks of renters. This extra kick in demand, which I always refer to as replacement buyers, looks right to me.

Inventory 357

Inventory Housing Market Legal Mortgage 357

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

Tuesday, the new home sales report for March came in as a miss of estimates at 763,000, but the revisions were all positive, which shows that the housing data is still lagging behind the current market reality. That data shows how housing was still on pace to have another solid year before mortgage rates got over 5%. percent (±12.9

Construction 352

Construction Buyers Housing Market Inventory 352

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

It’s the same reason I have given for many years: the American bears who are typically housing crash addicts can’t read data correctly, and the mortgage purchase application data just proved my point once again. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market.

Inventory 490

Inventory Housing Market Investors Marketing 490

Housing Wire

MARCH 17, 2022

We had more housing starts during the bubble years because from 2002 to 2005 that demand curve was higher, but it was facilitated by unhealthy credit growth. Remember that back in 2018, the new home sales and housing starts sector had a slowdown when mortgage rates got to 5%. Mortgage rates have risen since the lows we saw last year.

Construction 463

Construction Housing Market Inventory Buyers 463

Housing Wire

JUNE 16, 2022

However, considering Wednesday’s builder confidence index and mortgage rates over 6%, it’s time to raise the fifth recession red flag, since the builders will have a tough time growing housing starts with rates this high. . As rates rise, this will impact the builders more as they try to find buyers for current homes in cancellation.

Housing Market 545

Housing Market Buyers Mortgage Construction 545

Appraisal Today

OCTOBER 21, 2022

Appraisers and Local Market Analysis. Excerpts: Social media and the mainstream media make a mess of these markets even in the best of times. They do not have the bandwidth to cover local markets. National data simply does not apply to the local real estate market and the closest large markets are Richmond and Washington DC.

Appraisal 52

Appraisal Marketing Contracts Insurance 52

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005.

Construction 370

Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 370

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 25, 2024

The real estate landscape witnessed significant developments in 2023, as the New Hampshire market saw a historic low in listings. Despite this decline, motivated buyers were out there trying to secure a home while also trying to navigate lower affordability and low inventory. This reaffirms we aren’t likely to see the market crash.

Inventory 51

Inventory Sellers Buyers Contracts 51

Appraisal Today

MAY 12, 2023

Fannie Mae will end up creating more instability for the trillions in the bond market – investors will have to process millions of valuations with the physical attributes of the home collected by unlicensed, uninsured, and unprepared individuals getting paid $10-$25 per inspection. Most buyers were tech people from the Bay Area.

Appraisal 52

Appraisal Architecture Business Contracts 52