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The mortgage rate lock-in didn’t start in 2022

Housing Wire

After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. In July 2022, new listings volume per week dropped from 90,000 at the end of June to approximately 74,000 just after the July 4th holiday. That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days.

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Expect the growth rate of existing home prices to cool down this year

Housing Wire

This growth is a positive housing story in 2024, something I talked about on Yahoo Finance this morning. The other data line that is small but steady year-over-year is the new listings data, and if most sellers are buyers, that gives us more demand than in 2023, when new listings were trending at the lowest levels ever.

Inventory 450
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Peak homebuying season is clouded by mixed signals

Housing Wire

If you need to communicate about the real estate market with buyers and sellers, you should join us. It’s the peak season for buyers and sellers. There are more sellers now as rates have stayed higher for longer. That’s actually 3% fewer new listings than last week. Click that to reserve your spot now.

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Altos: Housing inventory could grow 40% this year

Housing Wire

The suspicion was that there were a bunch of sellers who were waiting to sell: Once rates fell these sellers would come rushing back to this real estate market and we’d finally see inventory grow. Second, because people think of home sellers as being locked-in by high interest rates. That’s 15% growth over the pace of 2023.

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Will home sales finally start to grow? Data shows glimmers ahead

Housing Wire

At least, that’s what the data seems to suggest as inventory grows and new listings decline at a less aggressive rate than last year. New listings decline isn’t as steep as a year ago There were only 53,000 new listings (single-family homes) unsold this week, plus 10,000 more new listings that are already in contract.

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Housing inventory is seeing unusual gains in November. Should we be worried? 

Housing Wire

It looks like this is evidence that housing markets are returning to normal rather than a case of sellers panicking, but it’s worth keeping an eye on. After all, more sellers means more sales in 2024. That’s more new sellers this year than the same week a year ago, signaling a tiny improvement in our supply-starved housing market.

Inventory 395
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The awesome power of high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates. percentage points—sellers take notice. Facing these realities, many would-be sellers decide to stay put. This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings.

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