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Did lower mortgage rates slow housing inventory growth?

Housing Wire

This can explain why the slope of the price-cut curve was faster and stronger in 2022 than in 2023 or so far in 2024. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. Let’s delve into the weekly data to see what we can uncover.

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Powell makes it clear: No rate cuts anytime soon

Housing Wire

This is a change from previous statements where the Fed talked about the rate cuts it expected to make this year — although that timeframe has changed several times. ” The Fed believes the labor market has been too firm, and wages have been growing too fast. .” I brought this up last year in a CNBC interview.

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Is the spring housing market ready for the Fed’s déjà vu?

Housing Wire

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. I believe it is in the Fed’s interest to keep existing home sales depressed. Here is the interview I gave on CNBC on the day the Fed went hawkish, explaining why.

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Core inflation makes the case for a Fed pause

Housing Wire

Today’s CPI report was good because it shows core inflation, which the Fed cares about, is trending in the right direction. The Fed feels much better today because of all the rate hikes they have done to get the Fed funds rate above the growth rate of inflation. percent in August, the U.S. percent in August, the U.S.

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Logan Mohtashami on CNBC: Why existing home sales are so low

Housing Wire

HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami appeared on CNBC ‘s Worldwide Exchange on Wednesday to talk about the health of the housing market , explaining the effect of high mortgage rates and low inventory on existing home sales. He also discussed Fitch ‘s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and its affect on the housing market.

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The labor report gives the Fed a clear pathway to land the plane

Housing Wire

The 10-year yield has had a wild ride today, but now is an excellent time to look at my macro take on the labor market and explain what the Fed is looking for with the jobs data. Since 2022, I haven’t believed the Fed would pivot until the labor market breaks. Instead, I have focused on jobless claims data.

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Logan Mohtashami on CNBC: How rates are impacting supply

Housing Wire

Mohtashami explained how demand for existing homes is still trending near 21st-century lows. The recent move lower in rates is a good thing for housing “The American public just isn’t into the Fed’s housing policy,” he said on CNBC, in reference to homeowners who are not listing their property on the market.