Remove 2014 Remove Housing Market Remove Mortgage Remove Sellers
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The mortgage rate lock-in didn’t start in 2022

Housing Wire

This is an excerpt of a HousingWire Research report titled: What Everyone Needs to Know about Mortgage Rate Lock-in, by Altos President Mike Simonsen. housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days.

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The housing market is now savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

You can see why I have been on team higher mortgage rates for some time now because we don’t have any other way to get off this madness. Inventory has been slowly falling since 2014, so if demand picks up in 2020-2024, it can collapse to shallow levels. However, a seller is also a natural homebuyer, unless they’re an investor.

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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. It all started when mortgage rates jumped from 5.25% to 6.25% this year and I saw how home sellers reacted to that move.

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Logan Mohtashami on how the housing market is holding up

Housing Wire

Logan Mohtashami: Yes, purchase application data has always been a useful forward looking indicator for housing, especially when we are dealing with higher mortgage rates. The last time we had 5% mortgage rates was in 2018. 2014 was the last year we saw a noticeable weakness in purchase application data.

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How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Imagine if mortgage rates didn’t rise this year. We are still showing double-digit home-price growth trends in the recent data as it takes time for higher mortgage rates to really increase supply back to normal levels. million or higher.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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Opinion: Here’s the latest data on what Realtors are witnessing in the housing market

Housing Wire

The real estate market has shifted, and we are in a new housing paradigm. Mortgage interest rates have risen quickly in the past few months further eroding affordability. It is always good to know where we are with the real estate market, but it is essential to keep all data in historical perspective. . Historically 2.5

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