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Is the spring housing market ready for the Fed’s déjà vu?

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. The one benefit of higher rates is that inventory can grow in the post-2010 qualified mortgage world as long as higher rates create softness in demand.

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Weekly active inventory growth still too slow

Housing Wire

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. Still, new listing data is a positive story. Still, new listing data is a positive story. As we head into April, let’s see where we’re at on the Inventory side as are officially into spring.

Inventory 484
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Why are existing home prices rising when sales are still so low?

Housing Wire

This is a byproduct of the qualified mortgage rule of 2010, which has been a game-changer not only for the housing market but for the overall U.S. But one positive reason for the low inventory is that homeowners have great financials and aren’t being forced to sell their homes out of stress. NAR: Total existing-home sales receded 4.3%

Inventory 491
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Existing-home sales have nowhere to go but up in 2024? 

Housing Wire

Elevated mortgage rates and high home prices pushed sales of existing homes down again in October to the lowest monthly pace since August 2010. At the same time, existing inventory has likely already bottomed out and new listings are keeping steady despite normal seasonal declines. Existing-home sales dropped 4.1%

Inventory 410
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy. Since the credit standards have improved post-2010, we shouldn’t see distressed sellers until a job loss recession happens, even if sales fall noticeably.

Inventory 528
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. Inventory is always seasonal, but the decline in new listings this year was not what I wanted to see. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 384
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory disappoints again

Housing Wire

inventory saga: after mortgage rates spiked above 6% in 2022, that jump-started the unhealthy reality of new listing data trending negative year over year. So much for the 2021 grifting premise that once mortgage rates rise, many Americans will list to sell and get out! Of course, we have a third story in this U.S.

Inventory 517