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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

After 2010, qualified mortgage laws were in place, meaning everyone getting a mortgage has to be able to repay the loan. Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. This is what happened post 2010: The millennials started to buy homes in 2013 and they finance 90% of those homes.

Inventory 511
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 528
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Existing-home sales have nowhere to go but up in 2024? 

Housing Wire

Elevated mortgage rates and high home prices pushed sales of existing homes down again in October to the lowest monthly pace since August 2010. While circumstances for buyers remain tight, home sellers have done well as prices continue to rise year-over-year, including a new all-time high for the month of October,” Yun said. “In

Inventory 410
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Why are existing home prices rising when sales are still so low?

Housing Wire

This is a byproduct of the qualified mortgage rule of 2010, which has been a game-changer not only for the housing market but for the overall U.S. But one positive reason for the low inventory is that homeowners have great financials and aren’t being forced to sell their homes out of stress. NAR: Total existing-home sales receded 4.3%

Inventory 491
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. One of the issues with existing home inventory has been that, for the most part, a traditional seller is usually a buyer of a home. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 384
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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

It got so bad that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy in February and deemed it the worst housing market post-2010, as inventory broke to all-time lows and mortgage rates were simply too low to stop the bidding wars. I have been forecasting since 2010 and I’ve only predicted price declines for 2011 and 2012.

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Housing inventory still near record lows

Housing Wire

If we are trending below 4 million — a possibility with new listing data trending at all-time lows — then we have much weaker demand than people think. are different post-2010. As expected, existing home sales fell from February to March since the previous month’s report was intense. Now if we get a few sales prints above 4.6

Inventory 528