Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

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Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 473

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

Mortgage rates shot up last week after a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, even though they didn’t raise rates. Mortgage rates did find some relief on Friday as bond yields headed lower. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip. The yearly high is 7.49%.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 452

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2023

The other difference in this housing cycle is that credit is very normal, meaning everyone has to qualify for a home loan these days, so sales have real potential to get hard with rising mortgage rates. Inventory still negative year over year From NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of August was 1.1

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021. Inventory fades in the fall and winter and picks up in summer and spring.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 520

Housing Wire

APRIL 2, 2021

The Mortgage Bankers Association expects this heightened pace to drop unemployment numbers to below 5% by the end of the year. “The prime-age labor force participation rate fell in the aftermath of the Great Recession and it took a decade to return to the pre-Great Recession average (2001-2007) of 83%,” Kushi said.

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Inventory Construction Housing Market Business 504

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. Of course this isn’t the healthiest housing inventory story. million, and in 2007, it peaked at 4 million.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Buyers 488

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 520

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2024

Thanks to high mortgage rates , mortgage refinance rates, and even higher home prices , the vibe among homebuyers has been fairly bleak these past couple months. Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing. To that I say, timing is everything in real estate. With only 1.3

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Inventory Lending Real Estate Housing Market 338

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.” Housing inventory.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 523

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Mortgage rates in the 6% range have frozen the housing market, forcing loan officers to find business outside their wheelhouses. With mortgage rates nearly doubling from the start of 2022, the LO, who has more than 20 years of experience in the industry, says it’s painful to see deals simply disappear. “I higher than last year.

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Mortgage Loan Officers Inventory Retail 383

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2022

The latest weekly survey data from Freddie Mac shows the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped 40 basis points to an average of 6.70% this week, the highest level since 2007. The uncertainty and volatility in financial markets is heavily impacting mortgage rates,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. Pressure on demand.

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Buyers Mortgage Loan Officers Retail 458

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

Second, if the next existing home sales report misses expectations, you may be told that this is due to a lack of inventory. Remember, lower inventory tends to go with higher sales — and higher sales means folks are buying homes…therefore…I know you are following me here… there must be homes to buy. . Don’t listen.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 545

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 21, 2022

Inflating mortgage costs, driven by skyrocketing prices and interest rates, have made mortgages less affordable than at any time since at least 2007. According to the latest market report from Zillow, demand for homes has pulled back in response —easing price growth, slowing sales, and boosting inventory.

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Inventory Mortgage Appraisal Marketing 195

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. In 2007, for context, we were a tad above 4 million. NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982. housing market inventory channels have changed due to how the U.S. Mortgage rates moving up and down have moved the market.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 537

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

That’s the largest year over year existing home sales decrease since 2007. More potential homebuyers were squeezed out from qualifying for a mortgage in October as mortgage rates climbed higher,” National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 412

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2020

At its Annual event Wednesday, Mortgage Bankers Association Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni forecast that interest rates could rise in the year to come, but that they will remain near all-time lows. The chart below shows interest rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will end this year at about 3% and could hit around 3.3%

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 405

Housing Wire

JANUARY 25, 2023

in December 2022, its highest level since 2007 and its fastest rise in more than 40 years. Long-term mortgage rates responded by rising from 3.25% in early 2022 to over 7.25% in October 2022, more than doubling. As inflation eases, so will long term mortgage rates. Inventory What does that mean for housing?

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 429

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

One of the unsung heroes of the most prolonged economic and job expansion ever recorded in history was the passing of the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Act and the 2010 qualified mortgage rule under Dodd-Frank. Total inventory in America grew from 2000 to 2005 while demand grew. In 2000, we saw a lot of credit stress in the system.

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Law Inventory Lending Mortgage 517

Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. million and 1.93

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 524

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 22, 2022

Ballooning mortgage costs, driven by skyrocketing prices and interest rates, have made mortgages less affordable than at any time since at least 2007. Demand for homes has pulled back in response, easing price growth, slowing sales and boosting inventory, according to the latest market report from Zillow.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 3, 2021

This week’s HW+ member spotlight features Reina Ramos, senior vice president, mortgage market leader at City National Bank of Florida. Reina Ramos: I don’t have a favorite article but rather enjoy and appreciate the coverage HW provides on all subject matters that are affecting the mortgage industry as well as Realtors.

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Inventory Loan Officers Clients Mortgage 384

Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

From the year 2000 until the start of the pandemic in 2020, existing-home inventory made up nearly 90% of total home inventory. And, unfortunately, sellers are not selling in today’s higher mortgage rate environment. The primary factor holding back today’s housing market is not lack of demand, but a dearth of supply.

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Housing Market Marketing Sellers Inventory 379

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

.” The notion that educated homeowners with positive cash flow — who aren’t showing any stress in making their low payments thanks to historically low mortgage rates — would sell at 50%, 60% to 70% off current values and go back to renting, doesn’t seem realistic. I set a cumulative price growth model of 23% for five years.

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Housing Market Inventory Lending Marketing 528

Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

Builders feel more confident in the market, housing inventory data is positive and buyer demand for mortgages has increased — but don’t be fooled. In addition, the credit rating agency expects mortgage rates to move even higher in 2023 and home prices to decline by up to 5%. “We

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. Total Inventory had been growing from 2001-2005; total listings data in 2005 was at the higher historical range of 2.5

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Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 384

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 All this is happening while housing permits have fallen noticeably from the recent peak.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 542

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2021

In an economic outlook panel at HousingWire’s Engage.marketing event on Thursday, Duncan explained that in the 2007 to 2009 downturn, the industry went from building 2.2 It’s going to take all of them. million units to 600,000, and stayed around that level for three years.

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Supply Chain Housing Market Marketing Inventory 361

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of March was 980,000 units, up 1.0% Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month Total housing inventory, while up year over year, is still near all-time lows, and monthly supply is also up year over year. We only have 2.6

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 527

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 The housing market shifted in March of this year.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 515

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2023

Rates on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage eclipsed 8% this week as the Treasury yield surpassed 4.9% for the first time since 2007, according to one index. Per Mortgage News Daily , mortgage rates touched 8.03% on Wednesday, up from 7.69% the previous week. Still, inventory remains a huge problem for the housing market.

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Mortgage Housing Market Inventory Construction 471

Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2024

Unless mortgage rates go lower, that’s what we should expect, because that’s what happened last year. When mortgage rates headed lower at the end of 2022 into 2023, we had 12 weeks of positive weekly purchase application data. The purchase application data has weakened as mortgage rates headed higher earlier in the year.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 481

Housing Wire

JANUARY 27, 2023

On the other hand, mortgage rates have gone down more than 1% since Oct. The builders’ stock prices have done well as mortgage rates have fallen , and this illustrates the simplicity of the homebuilders’ position: their story is really about mortgage rates and moving products. months of supply. But since Oct.

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Mortgage Construction Buyers Inventory 542

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Mortgage rates were near 7% last week but purchase applications were still able to pull out an 8% week-to-week gain. Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Mortgage rates hardly budged last week, even with the Federal Reserve ‘s announcement it was pausing rate hikes and CPI inflation reports.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 480

Housing Wire

AUGUST 5, 2022

We had some funky trade and inventory data that tilted the GDP negatively, but the traditional data lines that go negative in a recession are just not there yet. Once mortgage rates rise, the new home sales sector does get hit harder than the existing home sales market. We see this in the durable goods data.

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Development Housing Market Marketing Business 544

Empire Appraisal Group

MAY 13, 2021

Housing inventories are low, credit remains tight, and lenders aren’t issuing risky loans at rates like they did back then. Product risk—such as from mortgages with introductory periods, teaser rates, or balloon payments—comprised about 40% of the mortgage market between 2004 to 2006. At the end of March, there were 1.07

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Housing Market Realtors Inventory Finance 78