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Builders apply the brakes amid canceled contracts

Housing Wire

For the builders, they have a new problem: they had homes under contract and then mortgage rates jumped in the biggest fashion ever recorded in history. Now, with mortgage rates so high, I believe there is less financial incentive for builders to start on the homes they haven’t begun to build yet. We currently have 9.2

Contracts 540
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Only 70,000 new homes available for sale

Housing Wire

Last year, while the Census Bureau was reporting the new home sales numbers and the builders were having high cancellation rates, the monthly sales report didn’t account for the cancellations of contracts. The Inventory for homes completed is at 70,000 = 1.23 The Inventory for homes completed is at 70,000 = 1.23

Inventory 518
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Existing home sales will drop to 4.78 million in 2023, NAR predicts

Housing Wire

Fraud risk continues to rise even as the market contracts . Although the housing market slowdown and drop in prices has meant that more and more borrowers are underwater on their mortgage , Yun anticipates that foreclosure rates will remain at historically low levels in 2023, remaining less than 1% of all mortgages next year.

Realtors 405
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VA Approves Desktops and Exterior-Only Appraisals

Appraisal Today

My comments : The big push to cut down on appraisal turn times because of the appraisal shortage is Very Old News since mortgage volume has plummeted. NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on non-lender appraisals, real estate market, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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Price Adjustments in this New Housing Market

Lamacchia Realty

In early March it was becoming clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. Rising prices weren’t favorable but with historically low mortgage rates , they were still affordable for buyers.

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How much will home prices climb over the next year?

Housing Wire

Even as mortgage rates rose, and affordability was pushed out of reach for many potential homebuyers, there are still sufficient buyers who can afford these prices and these rates. After the mortgage rate spike in September 2022, we got significantly more bearish on home prices for 2023. If mortgage rates increase to the 7.5%

Inventory 349
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

The truth is that if mortgage rates fell below 5.875% and kept going lower, everyone’s housing predictions would need to be revised this year because the builders can sell their homes with lower mortgage rates. economy isn’t in recession today, and mortgage rates have risen almost 1% from the recent lows.