Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

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Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2024

Thanks to high mortgage rates , mortgage refinance rates, and even higher home prices , the vibe among homebuyers has been fairly bleak these past couple months. Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing. Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. Of course this isn’t the healthiest housing inventory story. million, and in 2007, it peaked at 4 million.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 2, 2021

The Mortgage Bankers Association expects this heightened pace to drop unemployment numbers to below 5% by the end of the year. “The prime-age labor force participation rate fell in the aftermath of the Great Recession and it took a decade to return to the pre-Great Recession average (2001-2007) of 83%,” Kushi said.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 516

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.” Housing inventory.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

Cash buyers remain at a historically high level of 19%, the same as last year, while sales grew 26.6% Second, if the next existing home sales report misses expectations, you may be told that this is due to a lack of inventory. Unsold inventory sits at an all-time low 2.5-month Unsold inventory sits at an all-time low 2.5-month

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Mortgage rates in the 6% range have frozen the housing market, forcing loan officers to find business outside their wheelhouses. With mortgage rates nearly doubling from the start of 2022, the LO, who has more than 20 years of experience in the industry, says it’s painful to see deals simply disappear. “I higher than last year.

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. In 2007, for context, we were a tad above 4 million. NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982. housing market inventory channels have changed due to how the U.S. Mortgage rates moving up and down have moved the market.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 25, 2023

in December 2022, its highest level since 2007 and its fastest rise in more than 40 years. Long-term mortgage rates responded by rising from 3.25% in early 2022 to over 7.25% in October 2022, more than doubling. As inflation eases, so will long term mortgage rates. Inventory What does that mean for housing?

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

That’s the largest year over year existing home sales decrease since 2007. More potential homebuyers were squeezed out from qualifying for a mortgage in October as mortgage rates climbed higher,” National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month

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Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

And there’s another thing that separates the housing market from other markets — the buyer is often also the seller. In most markets, the seller, or supplier, makes their decision about adding supply to the market independent of the buyer, or source of demand, and their decision to buy. years in March 2023, according to recent data.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. million and 1.93

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 521

Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

Builders feel more confident in the market, housing inventory data is positive and buyer demand for mortgages has increased — but don’t be fooled. In addition, the credit rating agency expects mortgage rates to move even higher in 2023 and home prices to decline by up to 5%. “We

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. Total Inventory had been growing from 2001-2005; total listings data in 2005 was at the higher historical range of 2.5

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 All this is happening while housing permits have fallen noticeably from the recent peak.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 28% of sales in March; Individual investors purchased 17% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 27% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 1% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 29 days. We only have 2.6

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 The housing market shifted in March of this year.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 27, 2023

On the other hand, mortgage rates have gone down more than 1% since Oct. The builders’ stock prices have done well as mortgage rates have fallen , and this illustrates the simplicity of the homebuilders’ position: their story is really about mortgage rates and moving products. months of supply. But since Oct.

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Mortgage Construction Buyers Inventory 545

Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2024

Unless mortgage rates go lower, that’s what we should expect, because that’s what happened last year. When mortgage rates headed lower at the end of 2022 into 2023, we had 12 weeks of positive weekly purchase application data. The purchase application data has weakened as mortgage rates headed higher earlier in the year.

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Empire Appraisal Group

MAY 13, 2021

housing market is on a hot streak with double-digit annual gains in home prices, bidding wars, and surging buyer demand. Housing inventories are low, credit remains tight, and lenders aren’t issuing risky loans at rates like they did back then. ‘This Isn’t a Bubble’. source: ‘This Isn’t a Bubble’ | Realtor Magazine.

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Lamacchia Realty

OCTOBER 25, 2023

PRICE ADJUSTMENTS AND THE 2023 MARKET In March 2022, it was clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where it was assumed that rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. Inventory didn’t increase at the rate most assumed it would.

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Lamacchia Realty

JUNE 21, 2022

In early March it was becoming clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. Rising prices weren’t favorable but with historically low mortgage rates , they were still affordable for buyers.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 26, 2021

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage held steady at 2.87% for the week ending in August 26, according to mortgage rates data released Thursday by Freddie Mac ‘s PMMS. The week prior, mortgage rates declined slightly to 2.86%. This week’s near constant mortgage rates may not yet reflect a rise in U.S.

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Listing Spark

JUNE 27, 2023

This sentiment is supported by the expectation of a majority of Americans that home prices and mortgage rates will either increase or remain the same over the next year 1. “The housing market has tilted sharply in favor of sellers amid increasing demand and ongoing low housing inventory.”

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Then we had the biggest mortgage rate shock in recent history and yet even with that, we will have over 5 million total home sales this year. Housing inventory.

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McKissock

SEPTEMBER 7, 2021

Some early warning signs of housing market correction are: A) Listing inventory in MLS starts to climb steadily. Increasing inventory is generally a sign that buyers have stopped buying (due to prices being too high or a lack of consumer confidence), or there are just fewer ready, willing, and able buyers in the marketplace.

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Listing Spark

JUNE 16, 2023

months supply of inventory doesn’t feel like we’re in a seller’s market, but technically, by definition, we still are.” However, a decrease in new listings is helping to stave off even higher inventory. Buyers now have more negotiating leverage, but high interest rates somewhat neutralize these benefits. [00:07:25

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 19, 2022

This trend has made it easier for buyers with financing and other contingencies to purchase a home. Also helping buyers is an increase in housing inventory, Ridenour Lindsey said. “It It is hard to tell if more homes are being listed or if things are just sitting a bit longer, but there is definitely more inventory,” she said.

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Marketing Inventory Buyers Housing Market 390

Lamacchia Realty

AUGUST 3, 2021

Though there were several months through winter and spring that it never seemed possible this year, the market is slowly beginning to be less competitive for buyers. But if the home has been available long enough, it’s time to consider adjusting the list price to gain more visibility from more potential buyers.

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Empire Appraisal Group

JULY 6, 2022

Wary buyers and rising interest rates may affect some U.S. The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was 5.48% Thursday, an increase of 7 basis points over the past week, according to Bankrate.com. Unlikely to Feel Impact from Slowing Market. markets, but Fla.’s WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. – Housing crash unlikely.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

In 2007, we had more than 4 million total active listings, which was too much supply for the builders to compete effectively. NAR total active listings data going back to 1982 : This explains why the builders and new homes are doing better than the existing home sales market, which deals with higher mortgage rates and low active listings.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

However, this time around, the Federal Reserve rate hike cycle is over, and we don’t need to worry about Fed presidents going on CNBC in 2024 crying about 6% mortgage rates making their lives difficult. In 2023, we had one big bounce in sales and then sales trended lower all year long as mortgage rates went from 6% to 8%.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

The truth is that if mortgage rates fell below 5.875% and kept going lower, everyone’s housing predictions would need to be revised this year because the builders can sell their homes with lower mortgage rates. Buyers have fewer choices than normal in the past eight years — but in reality, since 1982.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 1, 2023

Even as mortgage rates rose, and affordability was pushed out of reach for many potential homebuyers, there are still sufficient buyers who can afford these prices and these rates. The number of buyers has been surprising. After the mortgage rate spike in September 2022, we got significantly more bearish on home prices for 2023.

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