Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 536

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

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Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 511

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2024

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 504

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Weekly housing inventory data Higher mortgage rates with duration will likely lead to higher inventory, which we have seen repeatedly for the past 10 years. 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 504

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 24, 2024

This trend is contributing to a glut of unsold inventory. The growing number of homes sitting on the market without finding buyers is attributed to record-high home prices and elevated mortgage rates in the 7% range, which are deterring potential buyers. The rise in stale inventory is most pronounced in Texas and Florida.

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Inventory Marketing HOA Contracts 399

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. 2022: 17.2% So far, so good here.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 482

Housing Wire

JANUARY 28, 2024

But, even with mortgage rates higher this year than last year, demand is rising. Once I make some holiday adjustments, we have eight weeks of a positive trend since mortgage rates fell from the 8% high , and as of now, the slightly higher rates we’ve seen recently haven’t impacted the data just yet. This is common in January.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Marketing 520

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Last year, the seasonal decline took longer than usual, but 2022 was an abnormal year with mortgage rates.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 515

Housing Wire

JUNE 26, 2024

Homebuilders with unsold inventory are feeling the pinch of high mortgage rates — and it’s showing up in new-home sales data. This inventory pileup could start to affect new-home prices. Geographically, the rise in inventory isn’t in areas with the most job opportunities, such as Seattle, Boston or New York City. .”

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Inventory Realtors Marketing Mortgage 431

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. The start of 2023 has been good, considering mortgage rates have stayed above 6% most of the time. I am keeping an eye on how much growth we can get with mortgage rates over 6%. Since Nov.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 508

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. When you connect the dots, this is a short and simple answer to why housing inventory and home prices are both rising. Sales descended 2.8%

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 458

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

What’s going on with housing inventory ? The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. In reality, the volatility in housing inventory is due to the Labor Day holiday, the start of school and the fact that new listings are trending at the lowest levels ever.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 491

Housing Wire

MARCH 4, 2024

At HousingWire , we have a debate about whether home sellers will freeze up again this year as mortgage rates stay stubbornly high. But now it’s March, and mortgage rates are the highest they’ve been all year, the economy continues to report strong numbers so the Fed is growing less likely to cut rates soon. So that rule holds.

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Inventory Sellers Buyers Real Estate 485

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

Last week, housing inventory grew and the number of price cuts fell, which is expected at this time of the year. I hope the next thing we see is housing inventory grow at the level it typically does in January or February instead of being delayed until March or April. So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 2022 21.7%

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 533

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? Last year, according to Altos Research , the seasonal peak for housing inventory was Oct.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 491

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 473

Housing Wire

MAY 23, 2024

The pricing surge comes despite a marginal dip in weekly average mortgage rates , which fell from a five-month high of 7.22% to 7.02% at the beginning of May, according to Freddie Mac. The market continues to grapple with insufficient inventory , Redfin reported. The median U.S.

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Inventory Sellers New Listings Buyers 465

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 517

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 450

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far. Weekly inventory change (Feb.10-Feb.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 410

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 10, 2024

While weekly inventory is still falling, we have year-over-year growth in total active listing and new listings data. This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. However, this data can move stronger in either direction when mortgage rates rise or fall aggressively.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 515

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The 10-year yield is close to yearly highs as the U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 485

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today. Inventory rising, historically low.

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Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 397

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 10, 2023

Last week we saw a noticeable decline in new listings and active inventory was barely positive. Does this mean housing inventory has begun its seasonal decline? That said, I hope we extend inventory growth longer before the seasonal decline. Here are the numbers, according to Altos Research : Weekly inventory change (Sept.

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Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 511

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. I hope the seasonal bottom was two weeks ago.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 491

Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

Like its competitors, Tennessee-based First Community Mortgage, Inc. (FCM) FCM) reduced the company’s size through 2022 amid a tough mortgage market. “There is certainly optimism in the air as mortgage applications have started to pick up on,” Keith Canter, CEO at First Community Mortgage, said.

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Inventory Mortgage Retail Training 441

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number. The answer is no!

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 538

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 502

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. Mortgage rates followed suit, walloping buyers’ purchasing power. New data from the U.S.

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Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 431

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Mortgage rates rose last week after the better-than-anticipated jobless claims data but even with higher rates, we also had a third week of positive purchase application data. In March of 2022 we had the lowest inventory levels ever recorded in history.

Inventory 458

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 458

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Dec.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 541

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 12, 2024

housing inventory so tight right now, how can vacant properties play a role? Brian Cullen: Vacant properties hold the potential to provide significant relief to today’s inventory challenge. In our view, it becomes a real missed opportunity for a market desperate for inventory. The post Housing Inventory: How Did We Get Here?

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Inventory Supply Chain Construction Property Taxes 221

Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2024

Are we seeing the start of a market shift in mortgage demand? Notably, mortgage rates have been gradually declining, and we’ve observed back-to-back positive weeks in purchase application data for the first time since mid-March. For now, we just had back-to-back weeks of positive growth, with mortgage rates still around 7%.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 452

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 18, 2024

The result has been worsening affordability, now exacerbated by stubbornly high mortgage rates. “The The post A Closer Look at the Housing Market’s Inventory Deficits first appeared on The MortgagePoint. The post A Closer Look at the Housing Market’s Inventory Deficits appeared first on Appraisal Buzz. Census Bureau.

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