Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. HousingWire: Switching gears really quickly, have you received any feedback on your savagely unhealthy housing market piece ? The days on the market to sell a home is too low.

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Housing Market Marketing Supply Chain Inventory 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

Homebuyers’ median household income increased by $19,000 this year from 2022, reaching $107,000, according to the National Association of Realtors ’ 2023 Profile of Homebuyers and Sellers. The report is an annual survey of homebuyers and sellers who closed transactions between July 2022 and June 2023.

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Real Estate Agent Real Estate Agents Sellers 404

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 488

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. Since the credit standards have improved post-2010, we shouldn’t see distressed sellers until a job loss recession happens, even if sales fall noticeably.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. If you believe people sell to become homeless, then you’re in the group of people that have simply not read housing data for decades. The days on market were too low. And existing home sales crashed in 2022 from a peak of around 6.5

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 540

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. However, not to the degree we saw from 2005-2008. million listings.

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Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 382

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 546

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

On a positive note, however, the days on the market are no longer a teenager anymore: that metric grew from 18 days to 21 days. I cheer because the savagely unhealthy housing market theme I talked about back in February of this year was the same premise of the housing reset talking point the Federal Reserve uses.

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Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 464

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2022

This article is part of our housing market economic update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a Housing Market Update webinar. Homes that reach the market sell quickly, bidding wars are the new normal and the investor share of sales continues to rise.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2023

No seller must use a real estate agent to sell a home — ever. They may buy directly from a seller, whether that seller is represented by an agent or not. RealTrends + Harris Insights ‘ studies from 2002, 2005, 2006, 2011, 2014, and 2019 all show that consumers know that commissions are negotiable.

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Real Estate Agent Real Estate Brokerage Agents 424

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

Aggregate data from the housing market would confirm this. From the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board, “the commission on home sales has stayed basically flat for decades at 6%, split evenly between the buyer and seller agents.” What a truly wrong statement for which is there ample evidence to prove that it is incorrect.

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Real Estate Realtors Agents Buyers 352

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing recession. That would be a positive for demand.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 543

Lamacchia Realty

JUNE 21, 2022

For the past few years, with inventory at historically low levels , sellers were coming pretty close to naming their price and buyers were paying. The low rates made it possible to offer more on a home as the cost of borrowing was lower and therefore, sellers weren’t the ones competing, buyers were. The same will be true for sellers.

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Housing Market Bracketing Marketing Sellers 65

Appraisal Buzz

MAY 17, 2021

Between 2002-2005 in many markets, the real estate market was scorching, much like it is today. As appraisers, we faced tremendous pressure from buyers, sellers, real estate agents, and loan officers during the previous run-up. We are seeing that as a profession again. Is this any different than last time?

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Cornerstone

SEPTEMBER 3, 2021

Now that we’ve reached the second half of 2021, it’s apparent: Today’s housing market is breaking records. A very specific set of circumstances are bringing opportunities for both homebuyers and sellers. Here’s a closer look at which four factors are creating this never-before-seen market. home prices had risen 15.4

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Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point?

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 457

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Have higher rates worked? Some data to consider: 1.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 519

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 25, 2023

However, the people who say low inventory is fake news don’t realize that housing credit channels are very different from 2008, which has prevented total active listings from looking anything like 2008. In their haste, they miss the bigger picture of the housing market. percent (±15.2 percent (±12.7

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 477

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2023

Just like in the existing home sales market, when sales are low, anything positive on the rate side can move the market in a positive direction. This goes into my low housing bar theme for 2023 and why we need context with sales data. The housing market story is about where the 10-year yield is going.

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Inventory Construction Housing Market Mortgage 477

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

million level we saw in 2005. However, it does show that the builders are in a much better spot to deal with their massive supply, compared to the 2005-2008 period. They are good at selling their inventory much quicker than existing home sellers, who might still be stingy on prices. below the August 2021 estimate of 686,000.

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Construction Sellers Inventory Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

The big theme of my housing work since 2010 has been that the housing market would have its weakest recovery from 2008 to 2019 because we simply built too many homes versus the real demand curve, and monthly supply proves that. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. From Census: For sale inventory and months’ supply : The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of August was 436,000.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is 12.6

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Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 370

Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

They have no emotional ties to houses and don’t need to sell a home to buy another one. They’re effective sellers and don’t want to create a backlog of completed units for sale because that would ruin their business model. Also, in the chart below, we can all agree it isn’t housing 2005 or housing 2008 with new home sales.

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Lamacchia Realty

SEPTEMBER 7, 2023

Since then, she has taken off running and has helped her buyers and sellers reach their goals. Cyndi thrives to make her buyers and sellers her top priority. Heidi is a stellar real estate agent who, since 2005, has been helping her clients buy and sell homes with ease and friendliness.

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Realty Realtors Real Estate Clients 74

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

The truth here that nobody wants to talk about is that we didn’t have a massive sales credit boom in housing from 2020-2021 like we saw from 2002-2005. That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

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Construction Housing Market Mortgage Sellers 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

The big theme of my housing work since 2010 has been that the housing market would have its weakest recovery from 2008 to 2019 because we simply built too many homes versus the real demand curve, and monthly supply proves that. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 404

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. million homes, using the NAR data.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Construction 539

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

As we can see below, from 2000, total active housing inventory rose from 2 million to 2.5 million before we saw the massive stress spike in supply from 2005 to 2007. The NAR data looks a bit backward, so if you want more fresh weekly data, I write the Housing Market Tracker every week on Sunday night to give you that information.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

Looking at the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo homebuilder confidence data and builder stock prices, I can say the homebuilders got very lucky this time around in the middle of a housing recession. They have less competition as they are working from low sales levels in today’s housing market. Today, homeowners look great on paper.

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Mortgage 519

Lamacchia Realty

DECEMBER 7, 2021

Elisha Lynch obtained her Real Estate license in 2005. He is skilled in many facets of Real Estate including both Buyer & Seller Representation, Commercial, Investment, Relocation & Luxury Properties. To learn more about Amy, click here.

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Realtors Realty Real Estate Clients 74

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

Knowing that the housing crash addicts on YouTube , Twitter , Facebook , and Clubhouse would incorrectly push the negative year-over-year data spin, I wanted to get ahead of that narrative. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2022

In reality, as we talked about many times on HousingWire, housing data was going to moderate, find a base and work from that COVID-19 surge in the data. However, with that said, it’s still just an OK housing market for me based on how I view the new home sales market. This is 11.9 percent (±20.3 percent (±16.6

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