Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2023

Just like in the existing home sales market, when sales are low, anything positive on the rate side can move the market in a positive direction. This goes into my low housing bar theme for 2023 and why we need context with sales data. months and below, this is an excellent market for builders. When supply is 4.3

Inventory 485

Inventory Construction Housing Market Mortgage 485

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

million level we saw in 2005. However, it does show that the builders are in a much better spot to deal with their massive supply, compared to the 2005-2008 period. They are good at selling their inventory much quicker than existing home sellers, who might still be stingy on prices. months are under construction, 1.86

Construction 491

Construction Sellers Inventory Housing Market 491

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. From Census: For sale inventory and months’ supply : The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of August was 436,000. When supply is over 6.5

Inventory 520

Inventory Construction Housing Market Marketing 520

Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

They have no emotional ties to houses and don’t need to sell a home to buy another one. They’re effective sellers and don’t want to create a backlog of completed units for sale because that would ruin their business model. Also, in the chart below, we can all agree it isn’t housing 2005 or housing 2008 with new home sales.

Construction 508

Construction Inventory Marketing Buyers 508

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Inventory Construction Marketing 397

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. family houses in July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 511,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

Construction 370

Construction Housing Market Sellers Marketing 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

Looking at the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo homebuilder confidence data and builder stock prices, I can say the homebuilders got very lucky this time around in the middle of a housing recession. They have less competition as they are working from low sales levels in today’s housing market. months of supply.

Construction 522

Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 522

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. months 290,000 new homes are still under construction, about 5.5 That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

Construction 370

Construction Housing Market Mortgage Sellers 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

The big theme of my housing work since 2010 has been that the housing market would have its weakest recovery from 2008 to 2019 because we simply built too many homes versus the real demand curve, and monthly supply proves that. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

Inventory 504

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 504

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. million homes, using the NAR data.

Inventory 540

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 540

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

The big theme of my housing work since 2010 has been that the housing market would have its weakest recovery from 2008 to 2019 because we simply built too many homes versus the real demand curve, and monthly supply proves that. million total housing starts until 2020-2024, when demand would warrant that many housing starts.

Inventory 410

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 410

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2022

In reality, as we talked about many times on HousingWire, housing data was going to moderate, find a base and work from that COVID-19 surge in the data. However, with that said, it’s still just an OK housing market for me based on how I view the new home sales market. months, this is an OK market for the builders.

Construction 450

Construction Marketing Mortgage Sellers 450

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

As we can see below, the uptrend in sales is still intact, so housing starts have held up OK. Even though multifamily construction has boosted housing starts recently, the slowdown in single-family purchases hasn’t been anything too dramatic yet. From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2022 was $436,700.

Construction 370

Construction Buyers Housing Market Inventory 370

Appraisal Today

APRIL 12, 2024

NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on non-lender appraisals, using new construction comps for existing homes, master planned communities, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc. I was lucky to have never had to use new construction as a comp on an existing home. baths, 14,450 sq.ft.,

Appraisal 80

Appraisal Construction Contracts Architecture 80

Lamacchia Realty

DECEMBER 28, 2021

2021 is going down in history as a historical year for the housing market across America. From offering dramatically over asking price, putting down massive deposits, waiving home inspection contingencies or not doing home inspections at all, waiving mortgage contingencies, agreeing to close whenever sellers want, and more.

Sellers 74

Sellers Inventory Buyers Realtors 74

Will Springer Realtor

DECEMBER 14, 2021

A shortage of homes for sale sparked some of the fastest-moving deals in memory, particularly on the Eastside, where single-family homes “sat” on the market for a median 5.4 What will the 2022 Seattle/King County housing market offer? Buyers will continue to outstrip sellers by a significant margin but less extreme than in 2021.

Real Estate 69

Real Estate Buyers Construction Sellers 69