Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

While demand is solid, the savagely unhealthy aspect of housing is continuing. Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month

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Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. million total housing inventory data as that is the level of inventory that would change my thesis that this is a savagely unhealthy market.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? This Q&A was originally hosted on June 1st. Then this happened.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Weekly inventory fell by 6201 , and new listing data is down noticeably from last year, which was different than last week. According to Altos Research data , housing Inventory fell by 6,201 over the last week; the decline is less this week than last.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. economic recovery was a false story and that we were about to embark on a second housing bubble crash due to forbearance. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. What a year 2021 has been. The excellent.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

The one thing that has happened in 2022 that has been worse is that national inventory levels have worsened in 2022 to start the year. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. Inventory has been falling for years.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. The housing data has been wild this year. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. I have documented the history of these housing price crash addicts for a decade now. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 488

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2020

According to multiple real estate agents and mortgage brokers, low interest rates and a high percentage of “essential” jobs in their town has kept the housing market and local economy strong. rise in houses sold in the same timeframe – from 670 to 940. The post Why is the El Paso housing market so hot right now?

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

One of the unsung heroes of the most prolonged economic and job expansion ever recorded in history was the passing of the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Act and the 2010 qualified mortgage rule under Dodd-Frank. As we can see below, the bankruptcy levels were extremely high before the bankruptcy law was passed in 2005. Today, we are at 1.25

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Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

The online reaction was immediate — housing must be about to crash. That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housing market , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 8, 2023

Foreclosures and bankruptcy data One of the most prominent credit stress data lines I have ever seen came during 2005-2008. Starting in 2005, four years before the Great Recession started, we saw significant credit stress built up in the system, all while the economy was expanding. Of course, this is always something to keep an eye on.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

I am going to do my best to try to make sense of what is happening with the housing market right now, since the years 2020-2024 have been a talking point of mine for years and my biggest concern since the fall of 2020 has been prices overheating — not having a deflationary collapse. . A short history of the housing crash narrative.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 15, 2024

years in 2005, according to a Redfin analysis of median U.S. housing market for multiple reasons, Redfin said. Homeowner tenure is projected to remain flat, but a larger share of homeowners remaining in place is also contributing to an inventory shortage, according to the report. years last year, up from 6.5

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 12, 2020

Despite what they promised, we sit here today with the United States housing market outperforming all other economic sectors in the world during the pandemic. In order for the housing market to crash due to too many loans going into default when forbearance programs end, the number of loans in these programs needs to grow.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2022

This typically happens in a recession, however, the notion that credit lending in America will collapse as it did from 2005 to 2008 couldn’t be more incorrect, as we haven’t had a credit boom in the period between 2008-2022. Look, no massive foreclosures are happening to send inventory skyrocketing. Why is this? Far from the 10.4

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Housing Wire

JULY 1, 2021

Although low and stable mortgage rates have kept the housing market booming over recent months, a deterioration in affordability and for-sale inventory has led to a market slowdown.”. For some economists, rising rates are the better option for counterbalancing the market.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

Since many people think of housing as a wealth creator — and we want more Americans to have more wealth — then the government needs to make sure demand stays high enough for that wealth product to grow. This can lead to home prices getting out of control , especially when total inventory gets to all-time lows.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

“In a still-competitive housing market, more well-off home buyers were able to have their bids accepted by offering larger down payments and even by paying cash.” While the housing market had limited inventory and home prices were in flux, buyers and sellers both increased their use of real estate agents,” Lautz said.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 546

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2021

Record-low inventory is pushing home-price growth at double the rate from a year ago, and even above the 10% growth rates seen in 2005,” Kan said. “The housing market is in desperate need of more inventory to cool price growth and preserve affordability. from the week prior.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2020

No, this is not a new home sales housing bubble as we are far from total new home sales being where they were in 2005. However, for the first time in more than a decade we have the demand needed to prompt builders to really push housing starts as the monthly supply data has collapsed this year. Instead, believe in the trend.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2021

Record-low inventory is pushing home-price growth at double the rate from a year ago, and even above the 10% growth rates seen in 2005,” Kan said. The housing market is in desperate need of more inventory to cool price growth and preserve affordability.

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Housing Wire

MAY 6, 2022

We haven’t seen that yet; the -12% YoY decline is a noticeable weakness, but nothing too dramatic yet like what we saw from 2005-to 2008. HousingWire: Will inventory finally break the streak and be positive year over year? HousingWire: What is the biggest risk to your balance housing market take?

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Construction 370

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2021

According to Sam Khater, chief economist at Freddie Mac, as with other parts of the economy, low housing inventory and price increases have dampened sales. Housing is in a similar phase of the economic cycle as many other consumer goods. Census Bureau reported that housing starts hit 1,534,000 for July, missing estimates.

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Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market follow Canada? In short, the answer is no, we won’t have the type of home-price velocity that Canada has experienced because our housing market is more diverse than theirs. housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. from 2002-to 2005, which led to forced credit selling.

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Buyers Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 527

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing Inventory. Home price s.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2020

Construction continued to play catch-up also as Novembers new-home inventory rose nearly 14% to a 4.1-month month supply – inching ever closer to the six-month supply sweet spot that suggests a balanced market. The median sales price for new houses at the end of November was $335,300, over $7000 higher year-over-year.

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Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point?

Housing Market 457

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 457

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2021

May’s 8% increase was the highest jump for that month since 2005, according to NAR. The “seesaw” nature of pending home sales could indicate a turning point for the housing market, according to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. Pending home sales in the South fell 3.0% to an index of 132.4 in June, down 4.7%

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2022

Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020.

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