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Spring housing market gets more inventory

Housing Wire

Active weekly housing inventory growth slowed slightly last week, but it’s still running at a healthier clip than in 2023. I have a simple model with mortgage rates being above 7.25%: weekly inventory data should grow between 11,000-17,000 per week. We have now seen it for two weeks as inventory grew by 13,247. 2022: 19.2%

Inventory 490
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Inventory is 19% higher than a year ago: Altos

Housing Wire

And as a result, as inventory builds , the sales growth trend shows signs of slowing. We know that these higher mortgage rates are deterring buyers, and inventory is building. Will higher rates keep a cap on inventory like it did a year ago? Inventory is up in lock step. But will rates deter sellers also?

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory grows

Housing Wire

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. Since 2020, the seasonal inventory bump has happened later than usual — not until March or April.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. I went over the reasons for this in the Housing Wire Daily podcast in February.

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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory falls

Housing Wire

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.

Inventory 491
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory is negative YOY

Housing Wire

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Since May 15, that trend has continued to the point that inventory in America is now negative year over year. We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. In March of 2022 we had the lowest inventory levels ever recorded in history.

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Why is housing inventory growing with higher mortgage rates?

Housing Wire

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers.

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