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Sluggish net new listings signal that the lock-in effect is not over

Inman

percent decline in net new listings and a 2 percent decrease in contract signings, driven by mortgage rate fluctuations, according to HouseCanary. Despite a rise in total inventory compared to 2022 and 2023, the market is still behind historical inventory averages as sellers avoid entering a higher rate environment.

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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. During that period, we saw new listing data decline.

Inventory 540
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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Active inventory fell 1,109, and new listing data made a lovely comeback week to week but was still noticeably down year over year. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 440
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The 2023 housing market is at odds with itself

Housing Wire

On the other hand, inventory is still low, and homes are still selling fast, often with multiple offers. The number of new listings coming on the market this spring is lower than it has been in more than a decade. Sales and new pending contracts are below pre-pandemic levels. What can we expect in 2023?

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Pending home sales surged in December: NAR

Housing Wire

For comparison, the index is benchmarked at a reading of 100 based on 2001 contract activity. New home sales , another measure of contract signings, rose 8% in December on the back of declining mortgage rates. The trade organization projects a 13% increase in existing home sales between 2023 and 2024 for an annualized pace of 4.62

Contracts 449
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Existing-home sales have nowhere to go but up in 2024? 

Housing Wire

Homes typically go under contract a month or two before the closing, which means the October data largely reflects purchase decisions made in August and September. On the bright side, housing inventory rose 1.8% lower than October 2022 when inventory was at 1.22 Meanwhile, unsold inventory sat at a 3.6-month

Inventory 395
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US home prices continued their rally in September

Housing Wire

home prices continued their rally in September 2023,” Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI , said in a statement.“Our in September, marking eight consecutive monthly gains since prices bottomed in January 2023. Low levels of existing home inventory contributed to keeping home prices elevated. by the end of September.