Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 515

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 515

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 491

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 491

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Why are mortgage rates rising? The jobless claims data is my key 2023 economic data line for the bond market and mortgage rates because I don’t believe the Fed will pivot until the four-week moving average of jobless claims gets above 323,000. Mortgage rates went from 7.39% to a high of 7.65% and ended the week at 7.44%.

Mortgage 515

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Government 515

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 520

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. While new listings are still trending at the lowest levels ever recorded in history, we are forming a bottom in this data.

Inventory 508

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 508

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

Mortgage rates shot up last week after a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, even though they didn’t raise rates. Mortgage rates did find some relief on Friday as bond yields headed lower. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

Mortgage 485

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 485

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 15, 2023

Buyers facing high mortgage rates are pulling out of their home-purchase agreements at the highest rate in nearly a year. of homes that went under contract that month, according to a new report from Redfin. The average interest rate on a 30-year-fixed mortgage was 7.07% in August. Year-over-year new listings were down 14.4%.

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Buyers Mortgage New Listings Real Estate Agent 421

Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2023

Last week ended with a wild ride for mortgage rates. We anticipated the two inflation reports could help mortgage rates, however, we had a bad bond auction last Thursday, and the 10-year yield rose sharply. This pushed yields higher Thursday and Friday to move mortgage rates to 7.19%. We saw an example of that last week.

Mortgage 370

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

Inventory 450

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 450

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

I believe this was the most overlooked housing story of the last year because even as mortgage rates rose all the way to 8% , the home price cut percentage data was always about 4% lower year over year. Now that mortgage rates have fallen and as we start the brand new year, we need to focus on this data line more.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. Mortgage rates went from 7.19%% to 7.37%. Purchase application data didn’t budge much on the week-to-week data.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall. As a result, mortgage rates, which climbed as high as 7.05% last week, fell to a low of 6.76% on Friday. million in 2023.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

The Federal Reserve played the good grinch for Christmas this year and delivered the best gift for homebuyers nationwide, leading to lower mortgage rates. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates fell together after the Fed meetings, which gave us mortgage rates under 7% last week. We have had an almost 1.5%

Inventory 535

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 535

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 16, 2023

The last four weeks of new listings data have been the most volatile since mortgage rates breached 6% in 2022. One week, we had the biggest decline in new listings data all year, which might indicate Americans are giving up on listing their homes. What’s going on with housing inventory ?

Inventory 491

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 491

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2023

Mortgage rates continued rising for the third consecutive week, increasing to 6.96%, the highest level since November 2022. The uptick in mortgage rates came amid positive inflation news – the consumer price index rate showed cooling prices in June, rising just 3.0% Other mortgage indexes show rates ticking down.

Mortgage 370

Mortgage New Listings Buyers Inventory 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. But even with mortgage rates getting as high as 8%, we’ve yet to hit within that range. Last week, mortgage rates rose toward 7.56%. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Inventory 491

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 491

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

The 10-year yield rose noticeably, sending mortgage rates near 7% right in the heart of the spring selling season. New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Total active listings grew by 3,809 weekly, but new listings are still trending at all-time lows.

Housing Market 500

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 500

Housing Wire

APRIL 19, 2024

High-end buyers tend to be more immune to mortgage rate fluctuations and flock to the luxury housing market. A surge in new listings of luxury homes was not enough to curb the price growth associated with rising demand. New listings of luxury homes soared 18.5% During the three months ending Feb. year over year.

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Luxury Properties New Listings Buyers Housing Market 466

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 410

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today. To view the complete research, click here.

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Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number.

Inventory 538

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 538

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Strong labor data pushed up mortgage rates and purchase applications fell week to week. Two weeks ago we had some good movement with active listings growing almost 9,000 , but last week that fell to just 4,988, and new listings data also fell.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

JULY 21, 2022

Those the three areas represent an opportunity for lenders grappling with a deeply challenging mortgage market, Sales Boomerang said in its second quarter mortgage opportunities report. Of the total monitored contacts, about 1.44% of contacts were new listing alerts, up 69% from the first quarter.

Mortgage 397

Mortgage Marketing New Listings Government 397

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 491

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 491

Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

They went all in during COVID-19 in 2020, doubled down in 2021 as the forbearance crash bros but really bet the farm on a massive home-price crash in 2023 after the most significant home sales crash ever in 2022. In 2022, mortgage rates got as high as 7.37%, so the question was: how low do rates have to go for housing demand to get better?

Inventory 546

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 546

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

As you can see, we are still a bit away from my ultimate goal of having total active listings back to 2019 levels. However, this data line accelerates when mortgage rates rise and demand gets hit harder. We can grow new listings from these depressed levels and get more demand. This is not what we’re seeing now.

Inventory 533

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 533

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. Of course, we have a third story in this U.S.

Inventory 517

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 517

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. Also, the volume of active listings was higher in 2022 this week, even though we were working from a lower level.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

We didn’t see too much volatility in mortgage rates last week, but purchase apps declined in reaction to rates rising two weeks ago. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The weekly active listing data had a rare week-to-week decline. This is truly a savagely unhealthy housing market as we have too many people chasing too few homes.

Inventory 485

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 485

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. Purchase apps had a small week-to-week gain.

Inventory 410

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 410

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates Last week was interesting for the 10-year yield and mortgage rates.

Inventory 491

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 491

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. My 2023 inventory forecast needs a lot of help, as new listing data isn’t growing at all still.

Inventory 504

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 504

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2022

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Redfin : Realtor.com : Altos Research : Clearly, we are seeing a slowdown in new listings as the data has been negative now for months. What does this mean?

Inventory 522

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 522

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. However, expect sales to pick up again soon since mortgage rates have markedly declined after peaking late last year.” During that period, we saw new listing data decline.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 541