Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

The housing market experienced more volatility last week, with housing inventory dropping as mortgage rates moved higher. The start of 2023 has been good, considering mortgage rates have stayed above 6% most of the time. I am keeping an eye on how much growth we can get with mortgage rates over 6%. Since Nov.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 505

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

Inventory 512

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 512

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. Mortgage rates followed suit, walloping buyers’ purchasing power. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 423

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 423

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: The 10-year yield had a Lord of Rings battle at a critical technical level, pushing mortgage rates lower at the end of the week with no real break in the bond market.

Inventory 446

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 446

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. The 10-year yield is close to yearly highs as the U.S.

Inventory 480

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 480

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 487

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 487

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far. Weekly inventory change (Feb.10-Feb.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 404

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week.

Inventory 518

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 518

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Mortgage rates didn’t move much last week, but the 10-year yield rose even though inflation data was tamer than expected, and we had a weaker retail sales report number. The answer is no!

Inventory 537

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 537

Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

With a rapid spike in interest rates, inventory at historic lows, home prices rising at unprecedented levels above income, and a purchase market that is both highly anxious and digitally reliant, mortgage and real estate professionals must be strategic to capture the market opportunity today. Inventory rising, historically low.

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Inventory Marketing Mortgage Supply Chain 395

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. I hope the seasonal bottom was two weeks ago.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. Mortgage rates rose last week after the better-than-anticipated jobless claims data but even with higher rates, we also had a third week of positive purchase application data. In March of 2022 we had the lowest inventory levels ever recorded in history.

Inventory 454

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 454

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. The 10-year yield and mortgage rates Last week was interesting for the 10-year yield and mortgage rates.

Inventory 487

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 487

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

Summer is here, and housing inventory is finally growing! The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. Purchase apps had a small week-to-week gain.

Inventory 407

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 407

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. I discussed my theory on why inventory bottoms out later in the year on this HousingWire Daily podcast.

Inventory 484

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 484

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. from December 2021 ($358,800), as prices rose in all regions.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 540

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? During the last four weeks and especially this past week, we are seeing inventory decline faster than expected. Weekly housing inventory. Weekly inventory change: (Dec.

Inventory 540

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 540

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? If so, what will this do to inventory levels? It’s a plus for mortgage rates that the U.S. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2022

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. One thing that I have stressed is that higher mortgage rates can create a slowdown in demand and thus allow more inventory to accumulate through a weakness in demand.

Inventory 521

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 521

Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2021

For better or worse, trends in the mortgage industry tend to mirror corresponding trends in the overall real estate market. Inventory issues. Emerging out of the pandemic, the first half of 2021 showed that there is a historically low housing inventory across multiple markets in the U.S. All about the rates.

Mortgage 509

Mortgage Inventory Real Estate Technology 509

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data.

Mortgage 531

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. However, last week was good; we had less inventory growth than I would like to see, but it’s better than the past few weeks. Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week.

Inventory 370

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2023

After mortgage rates spiked to 8% in October, causing a riot in the real estate industry, we had an epic move lower in mortgage rates last week. Does this mean we’ve hit the peak in mortgage rates for this economic cycle? It looks like I will bat a whopping 0 in 2023 for my higher rates inventory growth level forecast.

Mortgage 492

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Real Estate 492

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2023

The nation’s housing industry has entered a new normal in which the dynamics of the market appear perplexing — marked by high mortgage rates and high home prices, along with shrinking mortgage originations. trillion in mortgage originations in 2021. Fannie Mae recently projected originations for 2023 at $1.59

Inventory 461

Inventory Renovations Real Estate Government 461

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. However, we are going to see if 6% mortgage rates are good enough to create some growth in the future or if the housing market needs rates near 5%. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 461

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 461

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. 2020 and 2021 easily each have over 6.2 We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021.

Inventory 518

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 518

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2023

The haunted house ride with the bond market and mortgage rates continued this week, but one housing data line hasn’t been spooked. New listing data appears unafraid of the mortgage rate ghost story over the last few months. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. Price cut percentages in recent years: 2023 38.5%

New Listings 536

New Listings Mortgage Inventory Housing Market 536

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

Inventory 469

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 469

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 482

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 482

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2020

As 2020 comes to an end, realtor.com ’s economists believe that the housing inventory shortage won’t be as dire in 2021. Additional lockdowns and quarantines due to COVID-19 could put a dent in housing inventory and sales, potentially slowing down the market and putting increased pressure on buyers, the forecast said.

Housing Market 523

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 523

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Why are mortgage rates rising? The jobless claims data is my key 2023 economic data line for the bond market and mortgage rates because I don’t believe the Fed will pivot until the four-week moving average of jobless claims gets above 323,000. Mortgage rates went from 7.39% to a high of 7.65% and ended the week at 7.44%.

Mortgage 509

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Government 509

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 8, 2021

home prices are quickly shifting the affordability calculus for prospective homebuyers in 2021 — even though mortgage rates have remained near record lows. Despite average 30-year mortgage rates that have remained below 3% for most of 2021, the rapid home price increases are eroding affordability for average wage earners.

Renovations 542

Renovations Inventory Marketing Property Taxes 542

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2021

As we think about coming out of this first month of the year, we’ve quickly realized this year is going to be anything but planned or what we in the mortgage lending industry are used to. But for others, low mortgage rates gave way to pre-approved borrowers struggling in a very competitive seller’s market.

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Lending Mortgage Inventory Business 446

Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2023

Last week ended with a wild ride for mortgage rates. We anticipated the two inflation reports could help mortgage rates, however, we had a bad bond auction last Thursday, and the 10-year yield rose sharply. Weekly active inventory grew slowly again and purchase apps were down week to week again.

Mortgage 370

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 29, 2021

in October — and since we are days away from December, we can officially label the 2021 housing crash bears as even worse than the 2020 housing crash bears. As we can see below, housing moderated, found a base and moved higher toward the second half of 2021. So far, 2020 and 2021 have come in as a noticeable beat in my eyes.

Inventory 529

Inventory Contracts Training Investors 529

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2020

At its Annual event Wednesday, Mortgage Bankers Association Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni forecast that interest rates could rise in the year to come, but that they will remain near all-time lows. The chart below shows interest rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will end this year at about 3% and could hit around 3.3%

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 406