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Home sales are beginning to stall as buyers hit their limit

Housing Wire

The number of homes for sale fell 28% year over year from 2020, and the typical home sold in just 14 days — a record low and, down from 39 days in June 2020. “In June we entered a new phase of the housing market,” Fairweather said. Finally, new listings fell from a year ago in 15 of the 85 largest metro areas.

Buyers 545
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Redfin: Over half of buyers are going above asking price

Housing Wire

“We are seeing a typical late-spring slowdown in new listings and pending sales, but prices don’t typically peak until late August, and their growth remains completely unhinged,” said Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist. But that’s not slowing down buyers. from a year ago.

Buyers 417
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

In the previous expansion, one of my long-term calls was that the MBA purchase application data will never hit the volume level of 300 until the years 2020-2024. Right on cue, 2020 came and we hit the 300 level. The years 2020-2024 were going to be the time when total home sales could finally reach 6.2 We are up 43% since 2020.

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Housing inventory has never been lower

Housing Wire

During the four week period ending November 28, the number of active listings was a 23% decrease compared to the same time period in 2020 and a 42% drop compared to 2019. The number of new listings was also down compared to 2020, dropping 4%, but it was 12% higher than the number of new listing during the same time period in 2019.

Inventory 505
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The awesome power of high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings. This data, courtesy of Altos, shows that new listings retreat when rates rise and accelerate when rates fall: High rates are bad, too, for the sellers who decided to list their homes.

Mortgage 413
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545
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Housing Market Tracker: Spring inventory grows

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory Since new listing data was trending at all-time lows in 2023, some feared we wouldn’t see the typical spring inventory increase. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing. didn’t go into recession until 2008.

Inventory 518