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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. On March 18, 2020, purchase application data broke out to pre-cycle highs in demand. What does that mean? Demographics also play a role here.

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The awesome power of high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

In the previous expansion, one of my long-term calls was that the MBA purchase application data will never hit the volume level of 300 until the years 2020-2024. Right on cue, 2020 came and we hit the 300 level. The years 2020-2024 were going to be the time when total home sales could finally reach 6.2 We are up 43% since 2020.

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Redfin: Over half of buyers are going above asking price

Housing Wire

“We are seeing a typical late-spring slowdown in new listings and pending sales, but prices don’t typically peak until late August, and their growth remains completely unhinged,” said Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist. For the week ending May 27, 30-year mortgage rates fell slightly to 2.95%.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing inventory has never been lower

Housing Wire

During the four week period ending November 28, the number of active listings was a 23% decrease compared to the same time period in 2020 and a 42% drop compared to 2019. The number of new listings was also down compared to 2020, dropping 4%, but it was 12% higher than the number of new listing during the same time period in 2019.

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