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DataDigest: Where for-sale inventory went and when it’s coming back

Housing Wire

With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S. Mortgage rates followed suit, walloping buyers’ purchasing power.

Inventory 386
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Even with low inventory, expect a strong 2021 housing market

Housing Wire

Even prior to the pandemic , housing inventory had hit record lows, and the problem has only gotten worse as demand continues to rise. Total home sales are outpacing new listings by a wide margin every month, and real estate tech company Homesnap foresees the shortage continuing in 2021 unless more sellers enter the market.

Inventory 546
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Days on market grow despite low inventory for existing homes

Housing Wire

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. Total housing inventory fell in this report, the third report in a row that shows total inventory has decreased.

Inventory 457
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory and purchase applications data fall together

Housing Wire

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Weekly Housing Inventory A few weeks ago, I was encouraged that we had a slight increase in inventory and a small decline the following week. This week inventory fell 8,664 units from the previous week.

Inventory 435
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. The glaring difference between now and 2014 is that total inventory levels are roughly 1 million lower now than the peak of 2014. nominal per year at most.

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Redfin: Bidding wars drop slightly in June

Housing Wire

But recently, we’ve started to see buyers get cold feet. Two of my buyers just had their offers accepted because the sellers’ first buyers backed out. The market is still competitive, but buyers are more trepidatious than they were at the start of 2021, and less willing to pull out every stop in order to win.”

Inventory 490
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Home prices increase for the first time in eight months: Black Knight

Housing Wire

Declining mortgage rates could have improved affordability for buyers in the housing market in February, but instead spurred a demand that, combined with a persistent lack of inventory across the U.S., “In many areas of the country, that dynamic – low inventory and a modest rise in demand – led to an uptick in home prices.”

Inventory 389