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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 454
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008.

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The savagely unhealthy housing market is now a nightmare

Housing Wire

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Inventory skyrocketing back toward historical norms of 2 million to 2.5 million to return to normal.

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Overblown rumors of demise? NAR has lost only 45K members since December

Housing Wire

Details of the latest membership count comes as the trade group works to implement a series of major rule changes stipulated by the Sitzer/Burnett commission lawsuit settlement agreement, as well as fewer market opportunities for members due to historically low levels of existing-home sales inventory. Membership dipped just below 1.5

Realtors 306
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Existing home sales are still savagely unhealthy

Housing Wire

The savagely unhealthy housing market is continuing as we get closer to August. But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S.

Inventory 506
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% The question is, can lower mortgage rates save the housing market from its recent downtrend? We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. The downside of rates moving up so quickly is that some sellers pull the plug until rates are better.

Mortgage 498