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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and new listings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.

Inventory 545
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. Also, this is what the Federal Reserve wants.

Inventory 540
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

What I mean by a credit bust is that after the housing bubble burst in 2005 into 2006, we saw a massive increase in supply. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Only from 2006-2011 did we see this break due to forced sellers who couldn’t buy homes.

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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 525
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Opinion: The end of seller speculation in US housing market

Housing Wire

metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. The table also reports the year-over-year percent change in new listings for each market. Table 1, below, reports the 10 hottest U.S. Bellingham, WA 51.7% -8.3%

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Home prices increase for the first time in eight months: Black Knight

Housing Wire

Declining mortgage rates could have improved affordability for buyers in the housing market in February, but instead spurred a demand that, combined with a persistent lack of inventory across the U.S., In February, the number of homes available for sale fell for the fifth consecutive month, and new listings ran 27% below pre-pandemic levels.

Inventory 393
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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. One of the issues with existing home inventory has been that, for the most part, a traditional seller is usually a buyer of a home. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 382