Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month

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Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? If you look at the monthly supply for new homes from 1996 to 2005, it was always lower than what we saw from 2008 to 2019. Wait, what?

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02

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Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? This Q&A was originally hosted on June 1st.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. But, that doesn’t mean housing is going to crash. Inventory velocity. April 10, 2020: We needed a lot of inventory, fast.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2020

But the virus has had anything but a negative impact on real estate in El Paso. According to multiple real estate agents and mortgage brokers, low interest rates and a high percentage of “essential” jobs in their town has kept the housing market and local economy strong. Interest rates were so low, at 2.5%

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. I have documented the history of these housing price crash addicts for a decade now. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand.

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

MAY 30, 2023

On Tuesday the FHFA House Price Index hit an all-time high. In this article I’ll explain why this is happening and why we still have a savagely unhealthy housing market. I also recently joined Mike Simonsen’s Top of Mind podcast to talk about what’s happened in housing over the past year.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

The online reaction was immediate — housing must be about to crash. That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housing market , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble.

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Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

I am going to do my best to try to make sense of what is happening with the housing market right now, since the years 2020-2024 have been a talking point of mine for years and my biggest concern since the fall of 2020 has been prices overheating — not having a deflationary collapse. . A short history of the housing crash narrative.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is 12.6

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Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. . “I don’t expect a boom in housing construction.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

Since many people think of housing as a wealth creator — and we want more Americans to have more wealth — then the government needs to make sure demand stays high enough for that wealth product to grow. This can lead to home prices getting out of control , especially when total inventory gets to all-time lows.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

. “With news that a COVID-19 vaccine will soon be available, and with mortgage rates projected to hover around 3% in 2021, I expect the market’s growth to continue into 2021.” At the end of October, housing inventory totaled 1.42 Housing inventory is now at a record low of 2.5 from October 2019.

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Empire Appraisal Group

JUNE 2, 2022

Is FOMO Fueling the Real Estate Market? Source: Is FOMO Fueling the Real Estate Market? Housing markets continue to run hot, despite rising interest rates and home prices. Market fundamentals and the housing market. Florida Realtors. By Amber Randall. FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2022

In June of this year, I raised the fifth recession red flag , putting the housing market in a traditional recession where sales, incomes, jobs, and production would be falling, which is happening now. And unfortunately, one of those productions items is housing completions data — which looks terrible in the latest report.

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Housing Wire

MAY 9, 2022

housing market follow Canada? In short, the answer is no, we won’t have the type of home-price velocity that Canada has experienced because our housing market is more diverse than theirs. housing market is more tied to mortgage buyers. from 2002-to 2005, which led to forced credit selling.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

million level we saw in 2005. However, it does show that the builders are in a much better spot to deal with their massive supply, compared to the 2005-2008 period. They are good at selling their inventory much quicker than existing home sellers, who might still be stingy on prices. below the August 2021 estimate of 686,000.

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Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2021

May’s 8% increase was the highest jump for that month since 2005, according to NAR. The “seesaw” nature of pending home sales could indicate a turning point for the housing market, according to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ” Yun said he expects the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to increase to 3.3%

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Of course, housing starts today aren’t collapsing in the way they did from the peak of 2005 because we haven’t had a sales credit boom in recent years as we did from 2002-2005, which inflated new home sales toward 1.4 Currently, we are in a much different housing recession than what we had from 2005-2011.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

NAR total active listings data going back to 1982 : This explains why the builders and new homes are doing better than the existing home sales market, which deals with higher mortgage rates and low active listings. Some people prefer something other than the current active existing inventory. Now on to the report.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

Knowing that the housing crash addicts on YouTube , Twitter , Facebook , and Clubhouse would incorrectly push the negative year-over-year data spin, I wanted to get ahead of that narrative. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2022

“Across the United States, homebuilders reliably broke ground on between 125,000 and 140,000 homes almost every month in 2021, and by one common measure, last year was the second-least volatile year for housing starts since 2005.”. Overall, an estimated 1,595,100 housing units were started in 2021, a 15.6% increase from 2020.

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Housing Wire

MAY 17, 2023

Transactions in the fix and flip market have been booming in recent years, with more than 407,000 homes flipped in 2022, up 14% over 2021 and up 58% over 2020, according to a recent report by real estate data firm ATTOM. housing market.” People are calling it the Great Renovation.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 17, 2022

We had more housing starts during the bubble years because from 2002 to 2005 that demand curve was higher, but it was facilitated by unhealthy credit growth. The homebuyers of new homes today are very solid, but since we don’t have a credit boom in housing, housing starts will move up slowly. Housing completions.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

The real question is how much higher mortgage rates will bite the most sensitive sector to rates: new homes. This stands in contrast to the existing home sales market, where higher mortgage rates can create more inventory and cool down price growth. It hasn’t for a reason; that was always a marketing pitch.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2021

million seasonally adjusted annual rate, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. With so many buyers snatching up new homes at the ready, inventory fell to 3.6 from February to a 1.02 Census Bureau. This is the fastest sales pace since September 2006. lower than March 2020. Presented by: iEmergent.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2022

The market has changed with rates so much higher, but for the most part, the builders are managing the recent weakness in sales as best they can. Census: For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply The seasonally?adjusted adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of May was 444,000. This represents a supply of 7.7

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Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

The one thing housing has going for it now is that we don’t have the speculative booming demand as we saw from 2002 to 2005. From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2022 was $436,700. They were simply doing what the marketplace allowed them to do with low inventory and low mortgage rates.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2020

Construction continued to play catch-up also as Novembers new-home inventory rose nearly 14% to a 4.1-month month supply – inching ever closer to the six-month supply sweet spot that suggests a balanced market. The median sales price for new houses at the end of November was $335,300, over $7000 higher year-over-year.

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Cornerstone

SEPTEMBER 3, 2021

Now that we’ve reached the second half of 2021, it’s apparent: Today’s housing market is breaking records. Here’s a closer look at which four factors are creating this never-before-seen market. The 4 reasons that today’s housing market is unlike any other. A housing inventory shortage.

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