Remove 2002 Remove Development Remove Inventory Remove Sellers
article thumbnail

How home-price growth has damaged the housing market

Housing Wire

I developed a specific home-price growth model for the years 2020-2024 which said that if home-price growth grew at 23% for five years we would be fine, with total housing demand —both new and existing homes together — getting to 6.2 Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. million or higher.

article thumbnail

New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Like home sellers, they try to make as much money as possible. The only risk to that 6.2

Mortgage 449
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Are new home sales flagging a recession?

Housing Wire

I know some people don’t agree with me on this, but the price gains in both the existing home and new home sales sector show that homebuilders and sellers had too much pricing power and needed to be checked. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The only way this happens is by higher rates. This is 16.6

article thumbnail

Builders only have 76,000 completed new homes for sale

Housing Wire

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Inventory 456
article thumbnail

New home sales still show a historic backlog

Housing Wire

The truth here that nobody wants to talk about is that we didn’t have a massive sales credit boom in housing from 2020-2021 like we saw from 2002-2005. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. However, even if I adjust for that, sales trends have bounced off the lows for a while. percent (±22.7

article thumbnail

March new home sales: the last positive revision for 2022?

Housing Wire

Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The one thing housing has going for it now is that we don’t have the speculative booming demand as we saw from 2002 to 2005. The builders have pricing power and they — along with home sellers — have pushed it very hard since 2020. percent (±12.9

article thumbnail

The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. The builders are in a better position to manage their inventory glut than when they were working from a credit boom in 2005 that took new home sales up to 1.4 This is 12.6 percent (±16.9 percent (±10.9