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Are new home sales flagging a recession?

Housing Wire

A few months ago, I wrote that the new home sales sector is at risk because of rising mortgage rates. I know some people don’t agree with me on this, but the price gains in both the existing home and new home sales sector show that homebuilders and sellers had too much pricing power and needed to be checked. What do we have now?

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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The lack of sellers is also a demand problem and what we saw after June of 2022 is that sellers called it quits earlier and faster in the year than usual, resulting in total existing home sales totaling 5,030,000 to end 2022. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. Also, this is what the Federal Reserve wants.

Inventory 540
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Dave Stevens on understanding this housing market

Housing Wire

I have been part of the mortgage banking industry since 1983 — 39 years to date through different housing markets. In fact, it was the skills I developed selling loans that helped develop my ability to influence policy leaders and others in industry during my time as Federal Housing Commissioner and as CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association.

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The 2022 housing market: A tale of two halves

Housing Wire

The first half of the year, with mortgage rates in the 3s and 4s, was like “Fast and Furious.” The number of home listings dried up , contracts were canceled , the few buyers still out there demanded concessions , mortgage rates spiked to 7% and homebuilder sentiment hit rock bottom. over asking price.

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The Similarities Between 2007 and Today

Appraisal Buzz

During the 2007-10 mortgage default meltdown, appraisals were a target of complaints and allegations by lenders, the GSEs, some state appraisal boards, and a few unscrupulous entrepreneurs. Between 2002-2005 in many markets, the real estate market was scorching, much like it is today. We are seeing that as a profession again.

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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . However, it’s not the market of 2002-2011.

Inventory 478
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The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9 percent)* below the revised June rate of 585,000 and 29.6