Remove articles will-mortgage-rates-keep-heading-lower
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Have we already reached peak home sales for the year?

Housing Wire

Unless mortgage rates go lower, that’s what we should expect, because that’s what happened last year. When mortgage rates headed lower at the end of 2022 into 2023, we had 12 weeks of positive weekly purchase application data. from January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.38

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Housing inventory fell last week, but it won’t derail the spring bump

Housing Wire

Also, spreads between the 10-year yield and the 30-year mortgage got better last week, which is a big plus for the future if this trend continues. My model has active inventory growing at least 11,000-17,000 every week with higher rates. It’s critical to keep track of this data line as it shows price growth cooling down.

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How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024?

Housing Wire

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. However, when mortgage rates rise and demand gets hit, the price cut percentage data grows year over year. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

Inventory 514
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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory falls again

Housing Wire

This is why I’ve created the Housing Market Tracker — a weekly analysis of purchase apps, housing inventory and mortgage rates that will be published every Monday. Then those rates fell 1.25% , which changed the demand data, only to rise again in a short timeframe. The 10-year yield shows where mortgage rates will go.

Inventory 480
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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgage 529
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. Those reading the tracker would have understood why the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov.

Inventory 511
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Why fewer homes are taking a price cut, even while inventory rises

Housing Wire

This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. However, this data can move stronger in either direction when mortgage rates rise or fall aggressively. What is all this data pointing to? This is something I have been discussing for many months on CNBC.

Inventory 518