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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

Mortgage 440
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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

To say that mortgage rates have been on a wild Mr. Toad’s ride in 2022 is an understatement. People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.

Mortgage 498
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Can first-time homebuyers afford homes today?

Housing Wire

Since October of 2022, the share of buyers who are purchasing their home without a mortgage has been more than one quarter of the market. These all-cash homebuyers are happily avoiding the higher mortgage interest rates, which touched 7% in the fall of 2022 before trending down to the current rate of 6.28%. Today, the average is 2.7

Realtors 406
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The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. We had missed sales estimates in 2013, 2014 and 2015. This time, we have less production of homes and more multifamily construction.

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Home prices surge to six-year high in November

Housing Wire

November’s numbers mark the greatest annual growth rate since February 2014 and even blew past the 8.4% Novembers numbers were buoyed by record-low mortgage rates, Speakman noted, which plumbed new depths in November. Record low inventory and strong buyer demand once again pushed up the cost of homes in the U.S., in October.

Inventory 544
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March new home sales: the last positive revision for 2022?

Housing Wire

That data shows how housing was still on pace to have another solid year before mortgage rates got over 5%. The housing world is much different at 5% plus mortgage rates versus the 3% mortgage world we had last year. The builders have pricing power and they — along with home sellers — have pushed it very hard since 2020.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. If you follow the trend of housing supply since 2014, it’s been falling every year — with a pause in 2018-2019 — and then collapsed lower post-2020. We have more housing starts under construction now than in recent history!

Inventory 492