Remove 2007 Remove Construction Remove Inventory Remove Sellers
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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? As you can see below, the inventory keeps falling from 2014 levels, and even with the weakness in demand this year, we are nowhere close to 2013 levels, let alone 2018 levels. What is going on here?

Inventory 519
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Experts share insights about the Fed, data ‘vibes’ and housing trends

Housing Wire

From there — and when combined with employment in construction and housing permit data — the thinking around rates will become clearer. “If In 2007, right around the time he started Altos Research, he was attending a conference where representatives of both companies were speaking. He began by looking at fresh inventory data.

Inventory 477
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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

Part of the issue is that mortgage rates moved up so fast that many sellers quit this year as well. Key thing to remember: A traditional seller is also usually a buyer. When mortgage rates spiked up as much as they did this year, it wasn’t financially appealing to some sellers to purchase their homes at rates of 6.25%-7.37%.

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Only 70,000 new homes available for sale

Housing Wire

This is different from the 2007 housing market when the builders’ sales were still collapsing and monthly supply spiked with rising cancellation rates. months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. The Inventory for homes completed is at 70,000 = 1.23 The Inventory for homes under construction is 263,000 = 4.6

Inventory 516
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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

However, the glaring difference today versus the recession of 2008, is that in 2007 the builders had to deal with over 4 million active listings as competition for their pricey new homes. In an odd twist of fate, the delays due to COVID-19 are currently an infrastructure and jobs program for Americans in the construction industry.

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Despite Fed talk, only 72K new homes are for sale

Housing Wire

We only have 72,000 new homes completed for sale in a country of 335 million people, and active inventory is near all-time lows. During the housing bubble crash years, active listings grew to more than 4 million in 2007 because most of the inventory in the U.S. months, the builders will pause on construction. months to 7.4

Inventory 370
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New home sales defy recession calls

Housing Wire

They’re effective sellers and don’t want to create a backlog of completed units for sale because that would ruin their business model. In 2007, we had more than 4 million total active listings, which was too much supply for the builders to compete effectively. Now on to the report. This represents a supply of 6.7