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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

We didn’t see too much volatility in mortgage rates last week, but purchase apps declined in reaction to rates rising two weeks ago. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

Inventory 541
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Home prices increase for the first time in eight months: Black Knight

Housing Wire

Declining mortgage rates could have improved affordability for buyers in the housing market in February, but instead spurred a demand that, combined with a persistent lack of inventory across the U.S., In February, the number of homes available for sale fell for the fifth consecutive month, and new listings ran 27% below pre-pandemic levels.

Inventory 397
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

“The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. Mortgage rates spiked in March, and then the new listing data started to decline at the end of June. This is the biggest story in housing. .

Inventory 528
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Opinion: The end of seller speculation in US housing market

Housing Wire

metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. The table also reports the year-over-year percent change in new listings for each market. Table 1, below, reports the 10 hottest U.S. Bellingham, WA 51.7% -8.3%

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 New listings are declining now. Inventory is always seasonal, but the decline in new listings this year was not what I wanted to see. This is not encouraging news at all, in my view. From Redfin.

Inventory 384