Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time. That’s not the case now because we have’t had a credit boom post-2010 as we did from 2002 to 2005.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 499

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. months for the new home sales market.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 542

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. months for the new home sales market.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month However, negative year-over-year inventory is not what we want to see.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows.

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Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point? Yes, I said below 5% again.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! From NAR : “In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the COVID-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. So where does all that drama leave us for 2023? Home price s.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 493

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

That’s right — for all the hype of massive housing inventory coming from the builders, today we sit here still trying to work back to pre-COVID-19 levels with just 76,000 completed homes ready to be moved. This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. months and below, this is an excellent market for builders.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

Homebuyers’ median household income increased by $19,000 this year from 2022, reaching $107,000, according to the National Association of Realtors ’ 2023 Profile of Homebuyers and Sellers. The report is an annual survey of homebuyers and sellers who closed transactions between July 2022 and June 2023.

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Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. The market is savagely unhealthy and needs balance; this is what we call balance! As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. Guess what happened in March?

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2023

Just like in the existing home sales market, when sales are low, anything positive on the rate side can move the market in a positive direction. If sales are working from an elevated number, like what we saw from 2003-2005, it’s a different subject altogether. However, this isn’t how inventory grows in America.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2023

One group has the advantage here while the other doesn’t: The new home sales market is minuscule versus the existing one, and the builders sell their homes like a commodity. They’re effective sellers and don’t want to create a backlog of completed units for sale because that would ruin their business model.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. This sector on an apples-to-apples basis is more expensive than the existing home sales market. The only risk to that 6.2

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 449

Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

The one thing that has happened in 2022 that has been worse is that national inventory levels have worsened in 2022 to start the year. Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. Inventory has been falling for years.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 25, 2023

You know, the one that says we have too much inventory and millions of vacant homes in the U.S.? However, the people who say low inventory is fake news don’t realize that housing credit channels are very different from 2008, which has prevented total active listings from looking anything like 2008. percent (±15.2 percent (±12.7

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Housing Wire

MAY 30, 2023

In this article I’ll explain why this is happening and why we still have a savagely unhealthy housing market. Forward-looking housing data flipped in November, so HousingWire created the weekly Housing Market Tracker to provide real-time forward-looking housing data. million in a normal market between 1982-2023.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 453

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

A bullish housing market. The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. We do have some very positive stories about the housing market in 2021, but not all is perfect, of course. What a year 2021 has been. However, not only did the U.S. The excellent.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. Over the years, I have tried to emphasize that the housing market in the U.S. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2022

million level we saw in 2005. However, it does show that the builders are in a much better spot to deal with their massive supply, compared to the 2005-2008 period. They are good at selling their inventory much quicker than existing home sellers, who might still be stingy on prices. When supply is 4.4 months and above.

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 539

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

They have less competition as they are working from low sales levels in today’s housing market. Last year we had monthly existing home sales collapse back to 2007 levels, except this time around, NAR has total inventory at 970,000 and not over 4 million. months, and below, this is an excellent market for builders.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

The truth here that nobody wants to talk about is that we didn’t have a massive sales credit boom in housing from 2020-2021 like we saw from 2002-2005. That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%. months, and below, this is an excellent market for builders.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housing market. I understand that grifters have to keep the grift going, but not even the Joker would say that the housing market lives off investors and not mortgage buyers. Home prices and days on market.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 14, 2022

Then, the mortgage industry showed why it is called a cyclical business: in the second half of 2021, the Federal Reserve signaled an increase in interest rates and an easing of the purchase of mortgage-backed securities, choking the refi market. Pennymac estimates it has 17% market share in the correspondent channel, compared to 1.4%

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Lamacchia Realty

OCTOBER 25, 2023

PRICE ADJUSTMENTS AND THE 2023 MARKET In March 2022, it was clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where it was assumed that rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. Inventory didn’t increase at the rate most assumed it would.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

Tuesday, the new home sales report for March came in as a miss of estimates at 763,000, but the revisions were all positive, which shows that the housing data is still lagging behind the current market reality. The new home sales market doesn’t have a 28% cash-buyer profile as we saw in the last existing home sales report.

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Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 25, 2024

It kept inventory down, which propped up prices, but sales are down nearly 22%, and buyers are hungry. 2022 was down in sales from 2021 just like this past year , and at that time , many were concerned that it was a sign the market was about to crash, something Anthony has repeatedly dispro ved. Sales Decline by 21.7%

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Lamacchia Realty

APRIL 15, 2022

When Will the Housing Market Change? Now all the above factors are finding a place to land, and everyone is asking: When will the market change? Sellers kept listing, albeit, at a much slower pace, and buyers were buying at the highest rate in over 15 years, absorbing inventory faster than ever. Available Inventory.

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Lamacchia Realty

JUNE 21, 2022

In early March it was becoming clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. As a result, there’s less demand for the available inventory, creating more price adjustments.

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Lamacchia Realty

MARCH 26, 2024

The Florida real estate market has shifted, and the number of active listings has increased at a much faster rate than the rest of the country over recent months. Due to these rising costs and rising number of listings, condos are remaining on the market for much longer periods than before, attracting less interest from buyers.

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Cornerstone

SEPTEMBER 3, 2021

Now that we’ve reached the second half of 2021, it’s apparent: Today’s housing market is breaking records. A very specific set of circumstances are bringing opportunities for both homebuyers and sellers. Here’s a closer look at which four factors are creating this never-before-seen market. A housing inventory shortage.

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Lamacchia Realty

FEBRUARY 22, 2022

The 2021 Massachusetts Year in Review Housing Report breaks down average prices, sales, inventory, new active listings, and pending sales for 2021 compared to 2020 and illustrates what that means for the current market. Below is a graph that illustrates home sales per year since 2005. Inventory of Homes for Sale.

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