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Higher rates flip the homebuilders’ fortunes (again)

Housing Wire

While the homebuilders weren’t surprised by the better-than-estimated new home sales report released Friday, some people were a bit shocked. 9 up until the early part of February as mortgage rates fell from 7.37% to 5.99%. To combat higher mortgage rates, builders have been cutting prices and buying down rates to move product.

Inventory 481
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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. So where does all that drama leave us for 2023?

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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

The truth is that if mortgage rates fell below 5.875% and kept going lower, everyone’s housing predictions would need to be revised this year because the builders can sell their homes with lower mortgage rates. This is why construction workers haven’t been laid off while other jobs in the housing market have been.