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What’s pushing mortgage rates higher?

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates and bond yields kept rising Tuesday as the job openings unexpectedly increased more than anticipated. And will job openings continue higher, pushing mortgage rates even higher in the future? As I write this article today, the 10-year yield is 4.79%, with mortgage rates at 7.72%.

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Better inflation data won’t sway the Fed

Housing Wire

The Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday showed again that the breakaway 1970s-style inflation is not happening, even with an expanding economy and an unemployment rate under 4%. I believe the Federal Reserve won’t pivot until the labor market breaks. I recently talked about this on CNBC.

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Housing Market Tracker: Still no spring inventory lift

Housing Wire

Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows. The chart below shows how the weekly 10-year yield ended with lower bond yields.

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Wage growth downtrend kills 1970s inflation fear

Housing Wire

Given Friday’s job report , those who have been concerned with entrenched 1970s inflation — which would lead to double-digit mortgage rates — can put their disco shoes back in the closet. And even with sub-4% unemployment rates for some time, the annualized three-month wage growth average is 3.2%. percent, the U.S.

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Will we start 2022 with all-time lows in housing inventory?

Housing Wire

While the rate of growth of home prices is cooling off (the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index typically lags), it’s still at a very unhealthy level for me. This is all about housing inventory collapsing to all-time lows in 2020-2021. Not even 5% mortgage rates in 2018 budged this data line too much.

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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Is the market pivoting ahead of the Fed?

Housing Wire

The entire economic landscape, including mortgage rates, has changed this week, starting with the Fed’s talking points on Wednesday. The honey badger labor market is still going strong as we got another solid jobs report Friday, which pushed bond yields higher at first. Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.0%.

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