Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. Here is a look at inventory last week: Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Inventory 531

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 531

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 421

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 421

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

Meanwhile, other homes are lingering on the market for months and driving up the typical age of listings on Zillow to 72 days. To lure more buyers, sellers are coming to terms with the market conditions and are agreeing to apply price cuts to their homes. In January, one in five houses listed on Zillow included a price cut.

New Listings 359

New Listings Sellers Housing Market Buyers 359

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Naturally, some people thought home prices would crash in 2023 as many market players said prices always follow volume. What happened between June 2022 to June 2023 can be confusing, so if you need more clarity I suggest listening to this podcast.

Mortgage 515

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 515

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

Will the number of homes that take a price cut this year drop below 2023 levels? However, as home sales stabilized in 2023, so did this data line. While the percentage of price cuts is still much higher than 2021 levels, this explains why prices were stable in the second half of 2023 versus the second half of 2022.

Inventory 539

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 539

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

The average cost of a policy increased 40% in 2023 alone, according to a report by Redfin. Before the new law was enforced, many condo associations were investing their reserves in government-insured instruments, sacrificing their liquidity to generate a return.

HOA 459

HOA Law Insurance New Listings 459

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

For my 2023 forecast , my range for the 10-year yield was 3.21%-4.25% , which meant mortgage rates between 5.75%-7.25%. One concern with higher mortgage rates was that more sellers — who are traditional buyers — would not list their homes. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back! Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 542

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 542

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

18): Inventory fell from 569,571 to 564,571 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 so far is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 1,104,514 New listings data fell weekly but showed positive year-over-year growth. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Inventory 519

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 519

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 514

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. The bottom has been in March and April in the past few years.

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 535

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan. But at least it’s positive!

Inventory 492

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 492

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? That is the critical period for new listing data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers.

Inventory 441

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 441

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 6-13): Inventory rose from 471,349 to 473,406 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 931,002 I don’t want to jinx this because active inventory rose last year at this time.

Inventory 517

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 517

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

Because we saw stability in 2023, I was looking for some flat to positive year-over-year growth in the data during the second half of the year. This is what we see, and it’s much needed; we need more new listings and not fewer. Weekly inventory change : (Dec. This was something I talked about on CNBC months ago.

Inventory 533

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 533

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

It’s no secret that 2023 was a difficult year to buy a home. With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 382

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 382

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Purchase application data rose again, with more positive than negative data in 2023. Here are some weekly numbers to see the difference in new listings from past years over the same week.

Inventory 517

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 517

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 503

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 503

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

Weekly housing inventory Since new listing data was trending at all-time lows in 2023, some feared we wouldn’t see the typical spring inventory increase. After the last few weeks , we can put that fear aside: we are finally getting the seasonal increase in active listing.

Inventory 511

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 511

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 28, 2023

Home prices rallied in September, as homebuyers still outnumbered sellers. home prices continued their rally in September 2023,” Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI , said in a statement.“Our in September, marking eight consecutive monthly gains since prices bottomed in January 2023. Home prices posted a 3.9%

New Listings 325

New Listings Contracts Inventory Sellers 325

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

As you can see in the chart below, 2023 inventory growth is very slow compared to 2022. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022. We had new listings growth from 2021 to 2022, but that’s not the case this year.

Inventory 451

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 451

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

Outside of that time period, everything else from 1982 to 2023 was normal. The lack of sellers is also a demand problem and what we saw after June of 2022 is that sellers called it quits earlier and faster in the year than usual, resulting in total existing home sales totaling 5,030,000 to end 2022.

Inventory 536

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 536

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

This scenario is similar to 2023 when rates fell. The one thing that is positive this year which is different than last year is new listing data is rising year over year, nothing spectacular, but it’s a positive story for housing This means we have more sellers that will be buyers in 2024. million units, up 4.7%

Inventory 469

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Buyers 469

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

NAR total inventory data 1,250,000 One thing about purchase application data and demand is that a traditional seller is typically a buyer of a home. Since the end of June, we have seen that the home seller called it quits earlier this year than usual, and now the new listing data is negative year to date.

New Listings 467

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 467

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. In addition, new listing data turned negative year over year after the second half of 2022.

Inventory 406

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 406

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. The new listing data has been trending at the lowest levels ever for over 12 months now.

Inventory 365

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 365

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

While circumstances for buyers remain tight, home sellers have done well as prices continue to rise year-over-year, including a new all-time high for the month of October,” Yun said. “In At the same time, existing inventory has likely already bottomed out and new listings are keeping steady despite normal seasonal declines.

Inventory 376

Inventory Realtors New Listings Contracts 376

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 13, 2023

Berg and ALTA One attendees also highlight the recent uptick in seller impersonation fraud , which occurs when a fraudster poses as the owner of a vacant lot or vacation home who is looking to sell the property. They need new listings and they are so desperate that they might take a fraudulent listing.”

Real Estate Agent 391

Real Estate Agent Real Estate Agents Sellers 391

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

Inventory 369

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 369

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

New listing data collapsed, but we are putting an asterisk on that data line for this week. As I write this article, I see news that even Warren Buffet has been asked to chime in on how to deal with this crisis. So, we can now add a new variable into the equation for 2023: What does a banking crisis mean for mortgage rates?

Housing Market 366

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 366

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

Weekly housing inventory decreased by 6,801, while new listing data is still negative year-over-year. 11-18): Fell from 247,385 to 243, 916 Another storyline with inventory is taking hold now, and new listing growth once again is negative year over year. A traditional seller is a conventional buyer most of the time.

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 397

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Altos Research Weekly Chart Hopefully, we will get the seasonal inventory push sooner in 2023 than we did in the last two years. 27 – Feb 3, 2023): Fell From 465,654 t o 456,990 Same week last year (Jan. And should we be concerned if new listing data doesn’t grow much this year? Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

One of my biggest concerns for housing started at the end of June 2022: once mortgage rates got above 6%, the new listing data began to decline faster and earlier than normal. This is a problem for the existing home sales market since a traditional seller is usually also a buyer, so the lack of listing growth was a big hit to demand.

Inventory 532

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 532

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? 6, 2023): Fell from 490,809 to 471,349 Same week last year: (Dec. What we don’t want to happen this year is a decline in new listing data on a yearly basis. If you haven’t checked out my 2023 forecast, read that here.

Inventory 516

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 516

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. We never saw the Airbnb crash that dominated some of the housing headlines in 2023. Weekly inventory change : (Dec.15-22)

Housing Market 514

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 514

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

Growing supply shortages are holding housing prices higher, and affordability constraints coupled with elevated rates lock potential sellers in place. in recent months due to a combination of falling demand and a weakening inflow of new listings. Months of supply stagnated at about 3.1 In 2022, about $2.4 trillion in 2021.

Housing Market 372

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 372

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

While buyers seem to be returning to the market early in 2023, purchase loans locked in January are still off by 13% compared to the 2018 and 2019 pre-pandemic levels. As sales volumes continued to slump, inventory growth stalled, as sellers are taking a step back from listing their homes.

Inventory 381

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Home Value 381

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. Home prices ebb and flow, pricing was working in the sense that sellers met homebuyers to a degree. To have a balanced housing market, we need active listings to rise yearly, which they typically do; 2020 was an anomaly.

Sellers 501

Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 501