Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

However, whenever the 10-year yield falls with duration, as we saw toward the end of 2022 and into 2023, it sends mortgage rates lower, and we can grow sales from these record-low levels. Purchase application data Purchase application data really moves on mortgage rates — something we saw in late 2022 and into 2023.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listing rose 8,260 week to week, down a bit from last week’s gain, but I’m not complaining — anything on the plus side is positive.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

The housing market is heating up as the spring buying season approaches. Well-priced homes are selling fast, often within 29 days, and that time frame is bound to shorten as the shopping season opens, according to Zillow ’s January market report. In January, one in five houses listed on Zillow included a price cut.

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New Listings Sellers Housing Market Buyers 403

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. As you can see in the chart below, 2023 inventory growth is very slow compared to 2022. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022.

Inventory 458

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 458

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. Here is a look at inventory last week: Weekly inventory change (Feb.

Inventory 534

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 534

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

Inventory 461

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 461

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. In addition, new listing data turned negative year over year after the second half of 2022.

Inventory 410

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 410

Housing Wire

JANUARY 6, 2024

Will the number of homes that take a price cut this year drop below 2023 levels? However, as home sales stabilized in 2023, so did this data line. While the percentage of price cuts is still much higher than 2021 levels, this explains why prices were stable in the second half of 2023 versus the second half of 2022.

Inventory 542

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 542

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Naturally, some people thought home prices would crash in 2023 as many market players said prices always follow volume. What happened between June 2022 to June 2023 can be confusing, so if you need more clarity I suggest listening to this podcast.

Mortgage 531

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

The average cost of a policy increased 40% in 2023 alone, according to a report by Redfin. Before the new law was enforced, many condo associations were investing their reserves in government-insured instruments, sacrificing their liquidity to generate a return.

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HOA Law Insurance New Listings 483

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. Most home sellers are buyers, and we want the new listings data to show growth year over year since it appears that we have formed a bottom in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Inventory 535

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 535

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

For my 2023 forecast , my range for the 10-year yield was 3.21%-4.25% , which meant mortgage rates between 5.75%-7.25%. I said the 10-year yield would only break below 3.37% if the labor market breaks — this level is the “Gandalf line” I have used all year. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. A traditional seller is a conventional buyer most of the time.

Housing Market 437

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 437

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? That is the critical period for new listing data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers.

Inventory 479

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 479

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? However, the year-over-year data is still critical to keep track of for the housing market. 6, 2023): Fell from 490,809 to 471,349 Same week last year: (Dec.

Inventory 538

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 538

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 520

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market. 13, 2023): Rose From 471,349 – 472,688. This is good news for the housing market.

Inventory 533

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 533

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 514

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. The bottom has been in March and April in the past few years.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 402

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. New listing data collapsed, but we are putting an asterisk on that data line for this week. As I write this article, I see news that even Warren Buffet has been asked to chime in on how to deal with this crisis. This bond market is screaming at the Fed to cut rates.

Housing Market 383

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 383

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

It’s no secret that 2023 was a difficult year to buy a home. With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 420

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 420

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. The show-me part of the housing market starts with this bounce from an extreme bottom. However, we are going to see if 6% mortgage rates are good enough to create some growth in the future or if the housing market needs rates near 5%. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 462

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 462

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 16, 2023

As I have said before, given the history of economic cycles, when the market believes the Fed rate-hike cycle is over, bond yields will rally and mortgage rates will fall. Because we saw stability in 2023, I was looking for some flat to positive year-over-year growth in the data during the second half of the year.

Inventory 535

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Law 535

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

In down markets, the best agents and the best brokerages gain market share,” Reffkin, the CEO of Compass, told investors and analysts during his firms first-quarter 2024 earnings call on Wednesday evening. “We Year over year , Compass gained 26 basis points of market share, bringing its total share of home sales in Q1 2024 to 4.76%.

Agents 381

Agents Brokerage Real Estate Clients 381

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! From NAR : “In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the COVID-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

Inventory 525

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

So let’s hope for more home sellers in 2024. 6-13): Inventory rose from 471,349 to 473,406 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 931,002 I don’t want to jinx this because active inventory rose last year at this time.

Inventory 532

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 532

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

Growing supply shortages are holding housing prices higher, and affordability constraints coupled with elevated rates lock potential sellers in place. in recent months due to a combination of falling demand and a weakening inflow of new listings. Months of supply stagnated at about 3.1 In 2022, about $2.4 trillion in 2021.

Housing Market 395

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 395

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. Outside of that time period, everything else from 1982 to 2023 was normal. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. The days on market were too low. And existing home sales crashed in 2022 from a peak of around 6.5

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 541

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

This is a byproduct of the qualified mortgage rule of 2010, which has been a game-changer not only for the housing market but for the overall U.S. This scenario is similar to 2023 when rates fell. million active listings per the last report, we have 526,000 per our last Housing Market Tracker article. million in March.

Inventory 490

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Buyers 490

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 28, 2023

Home prices rallied in September, as homebuyers still outnumbered sellers. home prices continued their rally in September 2023,” Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI , said in a statement.“Our in September, marking eight consecutive monthly gains since prices bottomed in January 2023. Home prices posted a 3.9%

New Listings 374

New Listings Contracts Inventory Sellers 374

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

New Listings 492

New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 492

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 24, 2022

In May, I wrote about the signs to watch for a real estate market slowdown. The price of new listings is dropping. But it’s clear that the dramatic shift in the market is about more than just seasonal fluctuations. Key takeaway: when imagining the possible outcomes for the 2023 market, it looks like that 5.5%

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Real Estate Marketing Inventory Sellers 323

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

Multiple offers, however, are still occurring, especially on starter and mid-priced homes, even as price concessions are happening in the upper end of the market.” At the same time, existing inventory has likely already bottomed out and new listings are keeping steady despite normal seasonal declines. from September, with 1.15

Inventory 405

Inventory Realtors New Listings Contracts 405

Housing Wire

APRIL 29, 2024

The weekly volume of new listings is now higher than at anytime last year. It’s still April, so there could be as many as eight more weeks of seller growth in the spring housing market. And seller growth is happening pretty much everywhere across the country, with Florida and Texas leading the way. orate further?

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Sellers Marketing Inventory Contracts 491

Housing Wire

AUGUST 20, 2023

Last week, mortgage rates hit a 21st-century high, the 10-year yield closed slightly higher than my peak forecast for 2023 , and housing inventory growth was still slow. Weekly active listings rose by only 4,401. The new listing data has been trending at the lowest levels ever for over 12 months now.

Inventory 370

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2023

housing market and that they need to be pro-housing again. Even with all the drama we have dealt with in 2022-2023, the housing market stayed intact and never broke. However, one thing is sure: from 2020 to 2023 we never saw credit-stressed home sellers. This is a big Merry Christmas gift for the housing market.

Housing Market 534

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 534