Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 515

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 535

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2023

A paradoxical picture is emerging as the spring market is underway. On the one hand, elevated mortgage rates continue to erode buyers’ purchasing power, and in some markets, home prices are falling. All major housing market metrics point to a restrained housing market. What can we expect in 2023?

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Buyers 421

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 534

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 28, 2022

This article is part of our 2022-23 Housing Market Forecast series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Forecast Event. Heading into 2023, it seems well within reason, given current trends, that a peak-to-trough decline in home prices of 10% is possible. .

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 491

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

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Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 500

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously. We haven’t broken either yet.

Mortgage 491

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 491

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

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Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 441

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 450

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 517

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield ended the week roughly flat.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 536

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. So far, higher mortgage rates haven’t changed the data yet.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2023

After mortgage rates spiked to 8% in October, causing a riot in the real estate industry, we had an epic move lower in mortgage rates last week. Does this mean we’ve hit the peak in mortgage rates for this economic cycle? It looks like I will bat a whopping 0 in 2023 for my higher rates inventory growth level forecast.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Real Estate 500

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

Mortgage rates almost fell below 7%, the 10-year yield is below 4.25% again, and people are seriously talking about Fed rate cuts in 2024. Mortgage rates have fallen by almost 1% in a short time, and it has created four straight weeks of positive purchase application data. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield We are back!

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. We didn’t see too much volatility in mortgage rates last week, but purchase apps declined in reaction to rates rising two weeks ago.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. This is truly a savagely unhealthy housing market as we have too many people chasing too few homes. The weekly active listing data had a rare week-to-week decline.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 485

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 533

Inman

FEBRUARY 5, 2024

In January, the real estate market saw a 17.5 percent decline in net new listings and a 2 percent decrease in contract signings, driven by mortgage rate fluctuations, according to HouseCanary.

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New Listings Contracts Inventory Real Estate 159

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! The 10-year yield rose noticeably, sending mortgage rates near 7% right in the heart of the spring selling season. New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Mortgage rates rose last week as we started the week at 6.55% but ended at 6.90%.

Housing Market 500

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 500

Housing Wire

APRIL 16, 2023

The seasonal housing inventory bottom evaded us again last week as active listings fell and new listing inventory decreased. Purchase application data rose again, with more positive than negative data in 2023. Mortgage rates didn’t move too much last week but ended the week on a higher note at 6.50%.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 538

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 491

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. Also, the volume of active listings was higher in 2022 this week, even though we were working from a lower level.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2024

The number of first-time homebuyers made up 32% of all buyers in 2023, according to a report released by the National Association of Realtors. Against that backdrop, Zillow identified prime markets for first-time homebuyers , and half of them were nestled in the Midwest.

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Housing Market Marketing Training New Listings 458

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 491

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 491

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. First, it took the longest time in U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 517

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 3, 2023

We had a crazy jobs week last week, with tons of data that the Federal Reserve was happy to see, but did those labor reports mean we’ve hit peak mortgage rates for 2023? Mortgage rates did fall, purchase application data rose and new listings data came back to trend. 18: 60,295 Aug. 25: 55,291 Sept.

Mortgage 458

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Marketing 458

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Why are mortgage rates rising? We have had back-to-back weeks of the bond market getting wild since the key 10-year yield level of 4.34% broke higher. It didn’t help that the Fed was hawkish after the Fed meeting , as their forward outlook surprised some market players. Land the plane, folks, land the plane!

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Government 515

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2024

Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25% , something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this year versus last year is that new listing data is growing yearly instead of trending at the lowest levels recorded in history. 2022: 18.7% 2022: 18.7%

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Finance 504

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 410

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. million in 2023. 1 song of the year. The chart below is a great illustration of where we are.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 504

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall. Do they even want to risk more stress in the markets?

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2024

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 485

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Strong labor data pushed up mortgage rates and purchase applications fell week to week. Two weeks ago we had some good movement with active listings growing almost 9,000 , but last week that fell to just 4,988, and new listings data also fell.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 28, 2023

31, 2022, that mortgage rates would hit 8% in 2023, you would reasonably assume housing inventory would sky rocket higher, home prices would fall noticeably, and the number of price cuts would be higher year over year. If I had told you on Dec. Last year, the seasonal peak for inventory was Oct. 28 according to Altos Research.

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Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 508

Housing Wire

APRIL 6, 2024

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. So, the fact that active inventory and new listings data fell last week isn’t a big deal. However, for now, this is a plus for the U.S.

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Inventory New Listings Mortgage Housing Market 473

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 520

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

The slow rise of housing inventory this year has made the existing home sales market savagely unhealthy again. Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week. But last week did see some growth in active listings, even though it’s less than I was hoping for.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 370