Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listing rose 8,260 week to week, down a bit from last week’s gain, but I’m not complaining — anything on the plus side is positive.

Inventory 520

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 520

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. New listing data was trending at all-time lows in 2021 abd 2022 and now it’s creating a new all-time low trend in 2023.

Inventory 491

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 491

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2024

Mortgage rates and the bond market have fallen a bit recently and the spreads between the 10-year yield and 30-year mortgage rate have improved over last year’s levels. To see mortgage rates drop and stay lower, the bond market needs to know the labor market is getting softer. That’s a 0.50% difference in rates.

Mortgage 447

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 447

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 29, 2023

In the ever-competitive real estate market, creating a consistent flow of real estate buyer leads is strategy for success. But beyond first-timers, we’ll show you how to attract real estate buyers of all kinds through a multi-tiered marketing approach that boosts both your visibility and credibility with potential buyers.

Real Estate 409

Real Estate Buyers Tools Real Estate Agent 409

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Armed with data from HousingWire sister company Altos Research , we can see in minute detail how the housing market responded to the recent 7%-and-higher rate environment and what the market may see again soon. This is clear in the chart below, which shows the year-over-year percent change in the four-week average of new listings.

Mortgage 441

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 441

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

The housing market is heating up as the spring buying season approaches. Well-priced homes are selling fast, often within 29 days, and that time frame is bound to shorten as the shopping season opens, according to Zillow ’s January market report. In January, one in five houses listed on Zillow included a price cut.

New Listings 420

New Listings Sellers Housing Market Buyers 420

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

However, the real positive story here is that even with new listing data trending at an all-time low, we are getting the growth in active listings we traditionally see in the spring and summer. In addition, new listing data turned negative year over year after the second half of 2022.

Inventory 410

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 410

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov. As you can see in the chart below, 2023 inventory growth is very slow compared to 2022. The other big story with housing inventory is that new listing data has been trending negative year over year since the end of June 2022.

Inventory 458

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 458

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. A traditional seller is a conventional buyer most of the time.

Housing Market 450

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 450

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

The average cost of a policy increased 40% in 2023 alone, according to a report by Redfin. Before the new law was enforced, many condo associations were investing their reserves in government-insured instruments, sacrificing their liquidity to generate a return. It’s causing buyers to rethink their plans.”

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HOA Law Insurance New Listings 485

Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. Active inventory fell 1,109, and new listing data made a lovely comeback week to week but was still noticeably down year over year. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 450

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 450

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. Instead, let’s look at the future: If the 10-year yield can break under 4.34% with some kick from bond buyers, we have an excellent shot at getting under 7%. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Inventory 536

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 536

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

Let’s take a look at the inventory data this year to test this premise, since for many months it has been a working theory of mine that new listings data behavior last year marked a bottom and even going into 2024 we should see more sellers. You can see our debate on this topic here.

Inventory 534

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 534

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

In down markets, the best agents and the best brokerages gain market share,” Reffkin, the CEO of Compass, told investors and analysts during his firms first-quarter 2024 earnings call on Wednesday evening. “We Year over year , Compass gained 26 basis points of market share, bringing its total share of home sales in Q1 2024 to 4.76%.

Agents 429

Agents Brokerage Real Estate Clients 429

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Naturally, some people thought home prices would crash in 2023 as many market players said prices always follow volume. What happened between June 2022 to June 2023 can be confusing, so if you need more clarity I suggest listening to this podcast.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 533

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 2, 2023

For my 2023 forecast , my range for the 10-year yield was 3.21%-4.25% , which meant mortgage rates between 5.75%-7.25%. I said the 10-year yield would only break below 3.37% if the labor market breaks — this level is the “Gandalf line” I have used all year. Weekly inventory change (Nov.

Mortgage 543

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 543

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Does that mean we are heading back to all-time lows in inventory again for 2023? However, the year-over-year data is still critical to keep track of for the housing market. 6, 2023): Fell from 490,809 to 471,349 Same week last year: (Dec.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 541

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 11, 2023

Total housing inventory growth has been slow in 2023, but with rising mortgage rates over the last few months, inventory has grown a bit faster than average. The question now is: Have we hit the seasonal peak in inventory for 2023? That is the critical period for new listing data to grow; remember, most sellers are buyers.

Inventory 491

Inventory New Listings Mortgage Retail 491

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

I am a very pro-housing supply person and will feel much better about the housing market when we return to pre-COVID-19 levels for total active listings. New listings were trending at the lowest levels ever in 2023, but that should not be the case in 2024. Here is a look at last week: Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 517

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 517

Housing Wire

MARCH 19, 2023

The housing market was crazy again last week. New listing data collapsed, but we are putting an asterisk on that data line for this week. As I write this article, I see news that even Warren Buffet has been asked to chime in on how to deal with this crisis. This bond market is screaming at the Fed to cut rates.

Housing Market 384

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 384

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. However, at the current trend, we will break below the lows in the price cut percentage data that we saw in 2023 in the spring of this year. The bottom has been in March and April in the past few years.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

Since November 2023, we have had nine positive and five negative purchase application prints after making holiday adjustments. This is a carbon copy of what happened in 2023 when rates went higher. Moving the needle doesn’t take much since we all know we have buyers ready to go and home sales are at record lows.

Mortgage 491

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 491

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. The show-me part of the housing market starts with this bounce from an extreme bottom. However, we are going to see if 6% mortgage rates are good enough to create some growth in the future or if the housing market needs rates near 5%. Weekly inventory change (Jan.

Inventory 466

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 466

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

This is a byproduct of the qualified mortgage rule of 2010, which has been a game-changer not only for the housing market but for the overall U.S. This scenario is similar to 2023 when rates fell. million active listings per the last report, we have 526,000 per our last Housing Market Tracker article. million in March.

Inventory 491

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Buyers 491

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market. 13, 2023): Rose From 471,349 – 472,688. This is good news for the housing market.

Inventory 533

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 533

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 23, 2024

This is nothing dramatic, but similar to what we saw in 2023 when mortgage rates rose from 5.99% up to 7.25%. Our data lines here at Housing — which track things weekly — show inventory is growing year over year with new listings growth as well. This means 2024 is starting to look a lot like 2023 unless rates fall soon.

Inventory 473

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 473

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2024

The housing market is off to a good start this year, as consumers benefit from falling mortgage rates and stable home prices,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. New home sales , another measure of contract signings, rose 8% in December on the back of declining mortgage rates. But new listings activity grew by 9.1%

Contracts 458

Contracts Housing Market Construction Inventory 458

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

It’s no secret that 2023 was a difficult year to buy a home. With mortgage rates briefly topping 8% and home prices breaking records throughout the year, many would-be sellers simply decided not to bother listing their homes, exacerbating already tight inventories. New data from the U.S.

Inventory 431

Inventory Sellers Mortgage Marketing 431

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 520

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 520

Housing Wire

AUGUST 13, 2023

This happened as expected, except we had a lousy bond auction, which meant too much debt supply came online with insufficient buyers. For my 2023 forecast , my range on the 10-year yield has been between 3.21%-4.25%, emphasizing that the bond yields can go lower than 3.21% only if the labor market breaks.

Mortgage 370

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Retail 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. Outside of that time period, everything else from 1982 to 2023 was normal. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 541

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 28, 2023

house prices rallied again in the third quarter of 2023. Home-price growth expected to slow in Q4 High mortgage rates combined with a typical seasonal slowdown will limit the number of buyers on the market in Q4, Bright MLS Chief Economist Lisa Sturtevant said in a statement. In fact, home prices rose 2.1% in September.

Inventory 473

Inventory New Listings Finance Buyers 473

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 28, 2023

home prices continued their rally in September 2023,” Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI , said in a statement.“Our in September, marking eight consecutive monthly gains since prices bottomed in January 2023. Simultaneously, new listing volume is up at the end of November, which might cool home prices down.

New Listings 415

New Listings Contracts Inventory Sellers 415

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! From NAR : “In essence, the residential real estate market was frozen in November, resembling the sales activity seen during the COVID-19 economic lockdowns in 2020,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.

Inventory 528

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 528

Inman

FEBRUARY 2, 2024

Strategic migration, low inventory and a demand for larger spaces have also contributed to rising luxury prices, agents told Inman, depending on the specific market.

Buyers 186

Buyers Inventory Agents Marketing 186

Housing Wire

JANUARY 13, 2024

6-13): Inventory rose from 471,349 to 473,406 The inventory bottom for 2022 was 240,194 The inventory peak for 2023 is 569,898 For context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 931,002 I don’t want to jinx this because active inventory rose last year at this time. 2022 21.7%

Inventory 533

Inventory New Listings Retail Mortgage 533

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

Today, we see buyer demand dampened under pressure from rising rates and their impact on affordability, with purchase rate-lock volumes cooling in late February,” Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research strategy at Black Knight, said in a statement. Months of supply stagnated at about 3.1 In 2022, about $2.4 trillion in 2021.

Housing Market 397

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 397