Housing Wire

JULY 9, 2023

The slow zombie crawl of housing inventory went lower last week as inventory was negative week to week. In addition, mortgage rates rose to a yearly high as labor data stayed firm and purchase apps had their first negative week after three straight weeks of positive growth. bond market doesn’t see a job-loss recession happening soon.

Inventory 477

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 477

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2024

Mortgage rates had a chance to break to new highs this year, but the Federal Reserve took a moderate tone at the last Fed meeting. We saw the benefit of lower mortgage rates with the last two existing home sales reports, which showed growth. Then mortgage rates rose, facilitating five weeks of negative purchase application data.

Mortgage 510

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 510

Housing Wire

MAY 4, 2024

My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases , inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000 growth model with mortgage rates over 7.25%. I wish new listings were growing faster, but I will call it a victory nonetheless.

Inventory 477

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Marketing 477

Housing Wire

MARCH 16, 2024

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

Housing Market 493

Housing Market Inventory New Listings Marketing 493

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 483

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest.

Inventory 516

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 516

Housing Wire

MAY 21, 2023

It was a wild ride for the housing market last week! The 10-year yield rose noticeably, sending mortgage rates near 7% right in the heart of the spring selling season. New listings data fell, however, active inventory grew. Mortgage rates rose last week as we started the week at 6.55% but ended at 6.90%.

Housing Market 493

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 493

Housing Wire

JULY 2, 2023

Housing inventory finally broke under 2022 levels last week. To give you an idea how different this year is from last year, last week in 2022, active listings grew 30,940 while this year they only grew 5,848. We have often discussed that the housing market dynamics changed starting Nov.

Inventory 450

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 450

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? Now, with five weeks of data in front of us, we can say they have stabilized the market. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

MARCH 2, 2024

The mortgage rate lockdown premise says that if rates rise, inventory can’t grow meaningfully. The idea is that nobody will trade their low mortgage rates to buy another home — even though this happened every week last year. With mortgage rates higher, will this stop inventory from growing year over year?

Inventory 532

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 532

Housing Wire

JANUARY 23, 2023

Here’s the housing market rundown for the last week: Purchase application data had a solid week-to-week gain of 25%. Housing inventory decreased by 566 units, which is not a significant decline. Mortgage rates fell, but the bond market didn’t break what I see as a critical level, so for now, stabilization is more important.

Housing Market 502

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 502

Housing Wire

JULY 30, 2023

Tracking housing inventory this summer is like watching a zombie slowly walking on the beach. Last week inventory growth dropped and new listing data declined again. Strong labor data pushed up mortgage rates and purchase applications fell week to week. Instead, new listings data had a small decline last week.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 6, 2023

Despite mortgage rates briefly falling below the 6% threshold, both housing inventory and mortgage demand fell last week. Let’s dive into the trend lines of the housing market. We are working from a shallow bar in this index – seven years of growth were taken away in one year in 2022.

Inventory 457

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 457

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2023

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. 9, 2022, until February and we can see how that is playing out in home sales.

Inventory 498

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 498

Housing Wire

JUNE 11, 2023

After seeing disappointing inventory growth two weeks ago , which I chalked up to the Memorial Day holiday, I was hoping for a big push in active listings last week, but that didn’t happen. And, the recent uptick in mortgage rates to almost 7% slowed purchase application data again. Of course, we have a third story in this U.S.

Inventory 513

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 513

Housing Wire

JANUARY 9, 2023

The housing market saw inventory fall 4% last week from the week before. Traditionally, we do see housing inventory fall in the month of December, however, we clearly saw in the second half of 2022 that higher rates created more days on the market and inventory was lingering longer. 30, 2022-Jan.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 541

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 17, 2024

Will mortgage rates break toward 8% again, making another 2024 data line that looks like a carbon copy of 2023? It’s not part of my 2024 forecast, but since the Federal Reserve likes playing with fire , let’s look at where we are with mortgage rates and their impact on weekly housing data. Serious mortgage rate talk!

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 533

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

The spring housing inventory was like a zombie rising from the grave, very slow, but the summer is showing some promise and let’s hope it continues. Mortgage rates were again in a small range, hanging near 7%. In addition, new listing data turned negative year over year after the second half of 2022.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 20, 2023

Another week down in 2023 and we’re seeing crazier action in the housing market as purchase application data fell, mortgage rates rose again, and weekly inventory took another dive with a noticeable move lower in new listing data. Mortgage rates hit 6.80%, marking the high point for 2023 so far.

Inventory 404

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 404

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2024

We survived jobs week and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking to Congress, with mortgage rates ending the week below 7%. But will mortgage rates keep heading lower? Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for all my housing work, so I focus on it religiously.

Mortgage 483

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. Mortgage rates rose to 6.57%. Active inventory fell by 3,141, and new listing data fell again and is still trending at all-time lows.

Inventory 483

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 483

Housing Wire

MARCH 12, 2023

Last week was wild, and not just for the housing market. Mortgage rates fell even though the jobs report was stronger than anticipated. They reversed their bearish take on bonds, and people started to buy the 10-year yield, causing mortgage rates to fall. Last week, the year-over-year data was only down a smidge.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 370

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 30, 2023

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. We created this weekly tracker at the end of 2022 to give people a live weekly outlook on everything that drives the housing market and which factors to follow.

Inventory 510

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Mortgage 510

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

We created the weekly Housing Market Tracker because housing data has been so wild since 2020. The housing market madness persisted last week as inventory fell and higher mortgage rates took a bigger bite out of purchase application data. How does the sharp increase in rates directly impact those homebuyers?

Housing Market 442

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 442

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. Weekly housing inventory data One substantial positive story for 2024 is that we have more housing inventory year over year. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

Inventory 513

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Housing Market 513

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

Mortgage rates fell along with bond yields, showing that mortgage rates peaked on Oct. The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market.

Inventory 531

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 531

Housing Wire

JULY 16, 2023

We finally got a break on mortgage rates last week as the 10-year yield hit a critical level and quickly reversed lower, sending mortgage rates down. Active listings showed growth, week to week, but much smaller than I would like to see. Last week showed why technical levels matter at certain key stops.

Housing Market 370

Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2024

Housing inventory, new listing data and mortgage rates are all rising, but the price cut data percentages are falling. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. I will watch for rising mortgage rates to see if they change the weekly data. So far, so good in 2024.

Inventory 541

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

MARCH 6, 2024

Housing professionals already know that high mortgage rates are bad for business. But with mortgage rates ascending past 7% according to HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center , those hopes have so far been dashed in 2024. Bad for sellers Prospective home sellers may not notice incremental changes in mortgage rates.

Mortgage 433

Mortgage Sellers New Listings Buyers 433

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 516

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 516

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 9, 2023

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data.

Mortgage 531

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 531

Housing Wire

JULY 23, 2023

Mortgage rates rose again and purchase apps saw a mild decline week to week. However, last year was very abnormal: We had the biggest one-year sales crash ever, working from the lowest active listings data in March 2022. The growth rate of inflation falling is very important for housing and the U.S.

Inventory 370

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2023

Did the recent move lower in mortgage rates turn the housing market positive? With mortgage rates moving almost 75 basis points lower from the highs, does the data show that demand has improved? I talked about how much lower mortgage rates can go from here in this recent podcast. I failed 100% of the time so far.

Mortgage 483

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 483

Housing Wire

JULY 29, 2022

A few months ago, the United States housing market failed Econ 101. metropolitan areas in February 2022, based on year-over-year growth in median listing price according to the residential real estate listing website, Realtor.com. Table 1: 10 Hottest Housing Markets out of the Top 250 Metro Areas, February 2022.

Housing Market 404

Housing Market Sellers Marketing New Listings 404

Housing Wire

JANUARY 30, 2023

Here’s the housing market rundown for the last week: Purchase application data showed positive weekly growth again — and the bounce from the bottom is more noticeable now. Housing inventory decreased by 6,468 units, a more pronounced decline from the previous week. And, so far, it’s been a good start to the year.

Inventory 488

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 488

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2023

Lower mortgage rates tend to take housing supply off the market and demand has been picking up lately as rates have fallen. However, the recent drop in housing inventory has more to do with seasonality factors than lower mortgage rates. Housing inventory fell this week, which is 100% related to seasonality.

Inventory 534

Inventory Mortgage New Listings Buyers 534