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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory drops by 11,000

Housing Wire

The housing market faced some serious obstacles last week as the 10-year yield broke over 4%, mortgage rates rose to over 7%, purchase apps fell again and we are still trying to find the elusive seasonal bottom for housing inventory. We still aren’t back to pre-COVID-19 housing inventory levels, as shown below.

Inventory 427
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The savagely unhealthy housing market is over

Housing Wire

Last June, the Federal Reserve said it wanted a housing reset , which meant it wanted higher mortgage rates to destroy the housing market. This facilitated the biggest decline in existing home sales for a single year that we will ever see in modern-day history due to the high level of sales in January of 2022.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.

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3 mortgage industry trends that will define the rest of 2021

Housing Wire

But there are definitely a few main things to looks out for — many of which are carrying over from a turbulent 2020 and early 2021 — when it comes to the upcoming landscape for the rest of 2021: Lack of inventory Fluctuating interest rates Increased adoption of technology. Inventory issues. All about the rates.

Mortgage 506
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Affordable housing inventory is limited due to foreclosure prevention efforts

Housing Wire

A key source of affordable housing inventory was cut in half over the last three years, resulting from well-intended but heavy-handed efforts to keep delinquent borrowers in homes. That key source of affordable housing inventory: distressed properties sold to third-party buyers or repossessed by lenders at foreclosure auction.

Inventory 370
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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

Sellers 498
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . With the home-price growth we had in 2020 and 2021, my five-year price-growth model that I set for 2020-2024 of 23% was already smashed in just two years.

Inventory 437