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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. This is what happened post 2010: The millennials started to buy homes in 2013 and they finance 90% of those homes. So you can see why we have so few stressed sellers. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 449
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. NAR total inventory data 1,250,000 One thing about purchase application data and demand is that a traditional seller is typically a buyer of a home. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine. This means less demand for housing.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

These were forced credit sellers, which means these sellers don’t sell to buy a home like a traditional seller does. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. As we can see below, none of that is happening today because the seller isn’t stressed.

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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. They have to move as well, so a traditional seller is a buyer most of the time when it’s a primary resident owner. We see some of this in the active listing data as new listings are declining.

Mortgage 498
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Download these 9 real estate prospecting letter templates that actually work

Housing Wire

We negotiated to get the sellers the highest price possible. Even if you’re months or even years away from moving, a seller’s prep session is one of the services I offer homeowners. Many of us are in sellers’ markets with very low inventory. The goal in prospecting FSBO sellers is to be that agent.

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Logan Mohtashami’s 2023 housing market forecast

Housing Wire

Going back to 2013, I have stressed that my affordability index gets tripped up if mortgage rates get above 5.875% , and wrote about this in 2019 as we were about to enter my critical period of 2020-2024. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year. million in 2023. million for 2023. Housing recession.

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“It seems impossible:” Bergen County, NJ’s housing market is vexing agents and buyers

Housing Wire

Altos considers any score above 30 to be a seller’s market. 70 towns, 90 new listings Local agents say the county’s tight inventory situation is largely to blame. “We When we were coming out of COVID we were seeing 15 to 20 offers on a house, where you’d have to make a spreadsheet to show your seller. as of March 6, 2024.