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Economists see housing as bright spot to unemployment

Housing Wire

Due to massive losses in the servicing sector outnumbering professional and construction job gains, the raw number of nonfarm payroll employment fell by 140,000 – the first decline since April of last year. More workers in the sector should support the faster pace of housing construction the market needs,” Fratantoni said.

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Can lower mortgage rates stop the housing recession?

Housing Wire

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. The builders would love rates to get back to these levels so they can be sure to sell some of the homes they’re finishing up on the construction side. NAR total inventory data.

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How is housing demand holding up? Logan Mohtashami answers

Housing Wire

Some historical references: The last two times rates rose, this is what we saw — 2013/2014 negative — 20% year over year trend 2018 purchase application data was flat to slightly positive all year long; we only had three mild negative years over year prints when rates headed to 5%. This data line is trend survey data.

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Beware of gloom and doom housing market crash headlines

Housing Wire

The last time we had a consistent downtrend in existing home sales was back in 2013-2014. months, builders pull back, and new construction stalls. We saw this in 2018 and then spent the entire year of 2019 selling off the excess inventory. This level of inventory means new home sales are doing ok, not great.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? As you can see below, the inventory keeps falling from 2014 levels, and even with the weakness in demand this year, we are nowhere close to 2013 levels, let alone 2018 levels. housing market.

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Why housing inventory is so low right now

Housing Wire

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

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Fewer housing permits equate to further inventory, affordability challenges

Housing Wire

Bureau of Labor Statistics from 2013 to 2023. Fewer homes under construction and falling permits mean dwindling options for future buyers, adding more pressure to a market already strained by tight supply,” Point2 said. Theoretically, new construction should be bolstered by the acute shortage of housing on the market,” Point2 said.

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