Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

The housing market is hot. You may be told that future moderation indicates “cracks in the housing market, but don’t buy into it. I previously wrote that if we really saw cracks in the housing market, these are a few indicators to track and to beware of doom and gloom housing headlines.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 25, 2023

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Update series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Housing Market Update. in December 2022, its highest level since 2007 and its fastest rise in more than 40 years. Inventory What does that mean for housing?

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Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

Existing home sales fell in today’s report , which isn’t surprising, but one headline that shocked some people was that home prices are still up year over year, even with higher inventory and higher mortgage rates. From NAR : The median existing home price for all housing types in March was $393,500, an increase of 4.8% All four U.S.

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Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

The housing market functions differently than other markets because it can be characterized as a heterogeneous, thinly traded, illiquid market. In other words, it’s a diverse market with a wide variety of different homes of varying ages and levels of repair, and sales happen very rarely. The result is fewer sales.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

That’s the largest year over year existing home sales decrease since 2007. Both a pullback in demand and limited supply remain vexing problems for the housing market. Total housing inventory at the end of October was 1.22 Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month Existing home sales last month declined 5.9%

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy.

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Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2024

Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing. As a result, sellers who are winning in this market spent time making sure their homes are in show-ready condition. These buyers understand that more inventory is coming to the market and that they will have options. With only 1.3

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Housing Wire

APRIL 2, 2021

“The prime-age labor force participation rate fell in the aftermath of the Great Recession and it took a decade to return to the pre-Great Recession average (2001-2007) of 83%,” Kushi said. For housing, March gained 110,000 jobs in construction – a positive sign in an industry struggling with supply constraints.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2023

Inventory still negative year over year From NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of August was 1.1 Unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-month The housing inventory data has been negative year over year per the NAR data for the past few months. Year-over-year, sales fell 15.3% (down from 4.77

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

Builders feel more confident in the market, housing inventory data is positive and buyer demand for mortgages has increased — but don’t be fooled. mortgage insurance market in 2023 to deteriorate. Fitch Ratings also expects the outlook for the U.S.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 24, 2023

In addition, jobless claims data had another solid print, showing that the labor market hasn’t broken yet, which led to more selling of the 10-year yield. On housing inventory , new listings data saw a small decline last week, but active listings grew at a healthy clip.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

The online reaction was immediate — housing must be about to crash. That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housing market , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. I have documented the history of these housing price crash addicts for a decade now. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

Barack Obama uttered those words on the footsteps of the Illinois state capitol in 2007 – a speech where the former Illinois state senator declared his candidacy for president. median home price of $207,000. Springfield was the only one of those 183 to see a year-over-year home sale price decline. This content is exclusively for HW+ members.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2021

The housing market is no stranger to supply constraints. But according to Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae , it’s not going to be just one of these factors that brings the market back to some semblance of normalcy. It’s going to take all of them. “It doesn’t just reappear,” Duncan said.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. Active inventory rose by 823 single-family homes and new listing data is trending at all-time lows.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

Active housing inventory grew while new listing data fell. Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active inventory grew 8,041 weekly. This dynamic changed the housing market from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. New listings data is another big story with housing inventory.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

During the build-up to when the housing bubble burst, housing was getting noticeably weaker on many fronts. Currently, the housing market is in a recession: sales, production, jobs and incomes are all falling in the housing sector. Total inventory in America grew from 2000 to 2005 while demand grew.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 3, 2021

HousingWire: What do you think will be t he big themes for the housing market in 2022? Reina Ramos: I think the theme for 2022 will be housing starts and affordability. We know refinance volumes will dry up due to rising rates, borrowers not exiting their homes due to the reduced inventories.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 Rates did spike from 5.99% to 7.10% recently , impacting the data coming up.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Mortgage rates in the 6% range have frozen the housing market, forcing loan officers to find business outside their wheelhouses. If the first-time homeowners are not moving because they can’t afford to, it freezes up the entire lower end of the market,” Gelbman said. million, below the 2019 range of 1.52 million to 1.93

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2020

Housing inventory and prices. Given the low interest rates that are driving demand, housing inventory has become a rising concern. MBA Associate Vice President of Industry Analysis Joel Kan explained that current inventory rests at just a three-month supply.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. But, that doesn’t mean housing is going to crash. Inventory velocity. April 10, 2020: We needed a lot of inventory, fast.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. We have a workable range for 2023 sales in the existing home sales market between 4 million and 4.6 NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of March was 980,000 units, up 1.0% Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month We only have 2.6 economy.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 527

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Lamacchia Realty

JUNE 21, 2022

In early March it was becoming clear that the market was changing from a frenzied post-pandemic scene to one where rising mortgage rates would slow it down and help inventory finally rise back up. As a result, there’s less demand for the available inventory, creating more price adjustments. See chart below.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 5, 2022

We had some funky trade and inventory data that tilted the GDP negatively, but the traditional data lines that go negative in a recession are just not there yet. As you can see below, this data line fell in 2006, and we were still creating jobs in 2006 and 2007. It’s intended to show the progression of an expansion into a recession.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. I give more details in this interview on why I believe the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.5-month

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Empire Appraisal Group

MAY 13, 2021

housing market is on a hot streak with double-digit annual gains in home prices, bidding wars, and surging buyer demand. That type of soaring housing market is prompting more “bubble” fears in some corners, but economists say the housing market isn’t getting overinflated. “We ‘This Isn’t a Bubble’.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2024

This is why we created the housing market tracker articles to keep everyone versed in forward-looking demand and the forward-looking demand was getting better as mortgage rates fell from 8% to below 7%. In 2007, they were 4 million. With the NAR data, I would be throwing a party if inventory could just get into a range of 1.52-1.93

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