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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

This time around, we have not seen the kind of housing credit boom that we did from 2002-2005. Since the end of June, we have seen that the home seller called it quits earlier this year than usual, and now the new listing data is negative year to date. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine.

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. Total Inventory had been growing from 2001-2005; total listings data in 2005 was at the higher historical range of 2.5 million listings. I don’t need to see total active listing get back to the historical range of 2-2.5 From Redfin.

Inventory 384
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

During that period, we saw new listing data decline. However, in 2020 new listing data came back, and we don’t want to see the new listings continue to decline this year — that would be a double negative for the housing market. So the fact that we are back to an average of 26 days on market makes me happier.

Inventory 540
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

Existing home sales have more legs to go lower, especially now that new listing data is falling. A traditional primary resident seller is also a buyer, which means if they don’t list, they’re not just taking a potential home to be bought off the table — they’re taking a future sale off the books as well. million in August.”

Inventory 456
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. One issue that has created a waterfall dive in purchase application data and sales is that new listing data is declining faster than usual.

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Success with Millennial Real Estate Clients: Q&A with Dara Alperen Cipollone

McKissock

In 2002, when Dara Alperen Cipollone purchased her first home in East Boston, her real estate agent suggested she would be a great fit for residential sales. I need to stay on top of the market and every new listing to assist them with navigating through what is the right information and what is to be ignored.

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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

This means the housing boom period of 2002-2005 had major credit tightening, which won’t happen this time around when the next recession hits. To have a balanced housing market, we need active listings to rise yearly, which they typically do; 2020 was an anomaly. The only time this happened was 2006-2011 — the housing bust years.

Sellers 504