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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 539
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Will mortgage lending get tighter in the next recession?

Housing Wire

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. One of the biggest reasons home sales crashed from their peak in 2005 was that the credit available to facilitate that boom in lending simply collapsed. The short (and long) answer is no, not a chance.

Lending 485
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US home prices continued to rally in July 2023

Housing Wire

. “This is about the same rate of price growth that occurred during the 2002 through 2006 period when subprime lending drove exuberant housing demand. “But that is where the similarities end.

Inventory 446
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Is the Dallas Fed right to label this a housing bubble?

Housing Wire

We aren’t anywhere close to the housing bubble dynamics we had from 2002 to 2008; that environment is simply impossible to replicate. Especially in a year when inventory has crashed to all-time lows and demand for those houses is still so high. This got smashed in two years, and inventory levels broke to all-time lows this year.

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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

The housing market of 2002-2005 had four years of sales growth facilitated by credit. However, what isn’t identical is that we have not had a massive sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is significantly different than the period from 2002-2005 when credit expansion was booming. Housing inventory. Home sales.

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What would it take to crash the housing market?

Housing Wire

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. Inventory velocity. April 10, 2020: We needed a lot of inventory, fast. The velocity of inventory rising in the next three months is limited. April 2022: Inventory has not recovered. Can this last?

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

Inventory 384